Regular season

Ryan Winterton

Seattle Kraken · C · #26

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?18 points in 68 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'2"
WT: 175 lb
Age: 22
Shoots: R
From: Markham, CAN
Draft: 2021 SEA · R3 #67

58Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

2323pctl

4141pctl

4545pctl

4646pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.2628pctl

0.0611pctl

0.2141pctl

1.339pctl

058pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

5%56pctl

1.7953pctl

0.1042pctl

Def Suppression?

0.2627pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

0.11pctl

0.5790pctl

0:0211pctl

0:5853pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 37 GP tracked · 8h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

50.1%55pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

50.0%52pctl

O-zone deployment?

37%11pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.1 min25pctl

Support received?

16.9 min60pctl

D-zone deployment?

63%89pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1068pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.6440pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.3763pctl

0.94×23pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.16/gm75pctl

Pressure escape rate?

6.1%14pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 747 EV min

General Offense

6.8372

9.8075

Shot Setups/60?

0.8040

Chance Setups/60?

0.7248

Primary Contributions/60?

7.6366

Rebounds Created/60?

0.5664

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0029

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.3225

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.4874

Deflection Setups/60?

0.1685

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0841

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.1236

Rush Offense/60?

8.6064

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.5636

0.7242

0.0019

Deflections/60?

0.9629

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.2473

Entries Finished/60?

1.2180

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.6472

Entry → Chance %?

53%33

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.0443

0.0822

0.9659

Retrieval Success %?

8%17

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0035

Exit Success %?

0%32

Forechecking

4.3458

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0882

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.83M

cap hit

$1.64M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$0.8M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Ryan Winterton	58	Depth Forward	18 P · 68 GP	$0.83M	$1.64M	B+$0.8M	this player
Tyson Jost	58	Depth Forward	16 P · 69 GP	-	$1.64M	-	88%
Fedor Svechkov	56	Depth Forward	17 P · 70 GP	$0.93M	$1.30M	C+$0.4M	88%
Liam O'Brien	56	Wrecking Ball	4 P · 38 GP	$1.00M	$1.30M	C+$0.3M	86%
Nick Bjugstad	56	Depth Forward	9 P · 61 GP	$1.75M	$1.30M	C−$0.4M	86%

Chemistry

Top connection: Ben Meyers · 6 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Ryan’s goals

Creates for

goals Ryan assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 1 G · 1 A · 21 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs COL 03-12

0G 0A · 2 shots · 10:53 TOI

@ VAN

0P

0G 0A

@ VAN 03-14

0G 0A · 2 shots · 14:12 TOI

vs FLA

2P

1G 1A

vs FLA 03-15

1G 1A · 2 shots · 13:37 TOI

vs TBL

0P

0G 0A

vs TBL 03-17

0G 0A · 2 shots · 14:26 TOI

@ WPG

0P

0G 0A

@ WPG 04-06

0G 0A · 2 shots · 13:38 TOI

vs VGK

0P

0G 0A

vs VGK 04-09

0G 0A · 4 shots · 15:02 TOI

vs CGY

0P

0G 0A

vs CGY 04-11

0G 0A · 1 shots · 12:58 TOI

vs LAK

0P

0G 0A

vs LAK 04-13

0G 0A · 2 shots · 15:07 TOI

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ VGK 04-15

0G 0A · 4 shots · 12:57 TOI

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

@ COL 04-16

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:53 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)161 events shown

The office: the high slot - 2 of 4 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 10 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 37 blocks · 3 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2023-24	Seattle Kraken	9	0	0	0	-1
2024-25	Seattle Kraken	12	0	1	1	-11
2025-26	Seattle Kraken	68	4	14	18	0
Career	1 team	89	4	15	19	-12