HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Nick Bjugstad

New Jersey Devils · C · #72
Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 108 hits (9.7/60)
HT
6'6"
WT
210 lb
Age
34
Shoots
R
From
Minneapolis, USA
Draft
2010 FLA · R1 #19
56Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
2929pctl
Playmaking?
3737pctl
Transition?
3030pctl
Defense?
5555pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.157pctl
Goals / GP?
0.1022pctl
Assists / GP?
0.054pctl
Shots / GP?
1.337pctl
Plus/Minus?
-1120pctl
PP Points?
016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
4.5%49pctl
ZEIS?
1.3635pctl
PSPL?
0.1770pctl
Def Suppression?
0.3845pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Faceoff %?
49.9%52pctl
D-Zone FO %?
48.3%44pctl
Draws / GP
5.842pctl
Take : Give?
0.4373pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:0423pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:4348pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 39 GP tracked · 7h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
16.7 min8pctl
Support received?
16.4 min79pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 619 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$1.75M

cap hit

$1.30M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal ($0.4M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Nick Bjugstad56$1.75MC$0.4Mthis player
Fedor Svechkov56$0.93MC+$0.4M89%
Juho Lammikko55--88%
Joshua Dunne55$0.78MC+$0.4M88%
Lars Eller55$1.25MC$0.1M88%

Chemistry

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

1 pts · 0 G · 1 A · 8 shots in last 10Steady(-0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs CHI

0P

0G 0A

@ NYR

0P

0G 0A

vs WSH

1P

0G 1A

vs MTL

0P

0G 0A

@ MTL

0P

0G 0A

vs PHI

0P

0G 0A

vs PIT

0P

0G 0A

@ DET

0P

0G 0A

vs OTT

0P

0G 0A

@ BOS

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)255 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 2 of 6 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 18 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 35 blocks · 2 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2012-13Florida Panthers11101-8
2013-14Florida Panthers76162238-14
2014-15Florida Panthers72241943-7
2015-16Florida Panthers67151934-8
2016-17Florida Panthers547714-19
2017-18Florida Panthers821930495
2018-19Florida Panthers3257122
2018-19Pittsburgh Penguins3295144
2019-20Pittsburgh Penguins131123
2020-21Minnesota Wild44611177
2021-22Minnesota Wild577613-2
2022-23Arizona Coyotes591310237
2022-23Edmonton Oilers194266
2023-24Arizona Coyotes7622234511
2024-25Utah Hockey Club6681119-2
2025-26St. Louis Blues35617-7
2025-26New Jersey Devils26022-4
Career8 teams821163176339-26