Regular season

Fedor Svechkov

Colorado Avalanche · C · #40

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?17 points in 70 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'0"
WT: 187 lb
Age: 23
Shoots: L
From: Togliatti, RUS
Draft: 2021 NSH · R1 #19

56Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

1818pctl

3535pctl

3535pctl

5555pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.2424pctl

0.0610pctl

0.1938pctl

1.021pctl

-634pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

3.7%41pctl

1.5946pctl

0.0832pctl

Def Suppression?

0.4148pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

42.8%15pctl

D-Zone FO %?

42.7%20pctl

7.853pctl

0.3965pctl

0:1632pctl

0:2138pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 47 GP tracked · 10h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

48.5%40pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

61.9%93pctl

O-zone deployment?

54%68pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.7 min8pctl

Support received?

16.4 min83pctl

D-zone deployment?

46%32pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0641pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.5535pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.2539pctl

0.92×15pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.09/gm96pctl

Pressure escape rate?

7.3%38pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 802 EV min

General Offense

4.7931

7.1038

Shot Setups/60?

0.8242

Chance Setups/60?

0.8258

Primary Contributions/60?

5.6131

Rebounds Created/60?

0.3029

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0028

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.6054

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.3759

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0776

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.2273

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.3546

Rush Offense/60?

6.9538

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.7557

0.7545

0.0018

Deflections/60?

0.8223

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.1557

Entries Finished/60?

0.6745

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.3740

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.4268

0.4573

0.9761

Retrieval Success %?

32%66

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0772

Exit Success %?

5%65

Forechecking

2.3238

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.93M

cap hit

$1.30M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.4M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Fedor Svechkov	56	Depth Forward	17 P · 70 GP	$0.93M	$1.30M	C+$0.4M	this player
Lars Eller	55	Depth Forward	15 P · 68 GP	$1.25M	$1.16M	C−$0.1M	90%
Nick Bjugstad	56	Depth Forward	9 P · 61 GP	$1.75M	$1.30M	C−$0.4M	89%
Colin Blackwell	55	Depth Forward	15 P · 70 GP	$0.81M	$1.16M	C+$0.3M	89%
Sean Kuraly	58	Depth Forward	22 P · 82 GP	$1.85M	$1.64M	C−$0.2M	88%

Chemistry

Top connection: Tyson Jost · 5 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Fedor’s goals

Creates for

goals Fedor assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 1 G · 1 A · 10 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs MTL

0P

0G 0A

vs MTL 03-28

0G 0A · 0 shots · 14:16 TOI

@ TBL

1P

0G 1A

@ TBL 03-29

0G 1A · 2 shots · 14:55 TOI

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK 04-02

0G 0A · 0 shots · 12:54 TOI

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

@ SJS 04-04

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:48 TOI

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK 04-06

0G 0A · 1 shots · 10:29 TOI

@ ANA

1P

1G 0A

@ ANA 04-07

1G 0A · 2 shots · 10:55 TOI

@ UTA

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA 04-09

0G 0A · 2 shots · 15:39 TOI

vs MIN

0P

0G 0A

vs MIN 04-11

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:22 TOI

vs SJS

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS 04-13

0G 0A · 1 shots · 11:49 TOI

vs ANA

0P

0G 0A

vs ANA 04-16

0G 0A · 2 shots · 15:31 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)316 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 1 of 4 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 11 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 39 blocks · 6 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2024-25	Nashville Predators	52	8	9	17	-17
2025-26	Nashville Predators	70	4	13	17	-6
Career	1 team	122	12	22	34	-23