Regular season

Anton Frondell

Chicago Blackhawks · C · #16

Middle-six playerMiddle-Six Engine?Reliable minutes: 9 points and honest two-way play

HT: 6'1"
WT: 198 lb
Age: 19
Shoots: L
From: Trangsund, SWE
Draft: 2025 CHI · R1 #3

75Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

6464pctl

5353pctl

7171pctl

6161pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.7581pctl

0.2570pctl

0.5088pctl

3.095pctl

-154pctl

241pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

11.8%95pctl

3.9293pctl

0.0728pctl

Def Suppression?

1.1396pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

30.2%0pctl

D-Zone FO %?

32.4%2pctl

8.859pctl

0.1811pctl

3:3395pctl

0:001pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 11 GP tracked · 3h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

36.3%0pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

52.6%64pctl

O-zone deployment?

46%35pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.8 min81pctl

Support received?

18.3 min22pctl

D-zone deployment?

54%65pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0859pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.4682pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.2539pctl

0.88×6pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.50/gm1pctl

Pressure escape rate?

5.0%4pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 170 EV min

General Offense

8.8370

9.5462

Shot Setups/60?

1.0655

Chance Setups/60?

1.0664

Primary Contributions/60?

9.8969

Rebounds Created/60?

0.3542

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0038

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.7158

High-Danger Setups/60?

1.0671

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0043

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.7171

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.0640

Rush Offense/60?

12.0169

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.3533

0.3532

0.3567

Deflections/60?

0.7133

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0034

Entries Finished/60?

1.0664

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.3543

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.3530

0.0031

0.3531

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0042

Forechecking

1.7738

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.3571

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.97M

cap hit

$5.99M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A+

Massive surplus value (+$5.0M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Anton Frondell	75	Middle-Six Engine	9 P · 12 GP	$0.97M	$5.99M	A++$5.0M	this player
Matty Beniers	75	Middle-Six Engine	50 P · 82 GP	$7.14M	$5.99M	D−$1.2M	85%
Frank Nazar	75	Middle-Six Engine	41 P · 66 GP	$0.95M	$5.99M	A++$5.0M	84%
Josh Norris	77	Middle-Six Engine	34 P · 44 GP	$7.95M	$6.62M	D−$1.3M	84%
Morgan Frost	71	Middle-Six Engine	43 P · 82 GP	$4.38M	$4.78M	C+$0.4M	81%

Chemistry

Top connection: Ilya Mikheyev · 4 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Anton’s goals

Creates for

goals Anton assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

7 pts · 3 G · 4 A · 30 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ NYR

0P

0G 0A

@ NYR 03-27

0G 0A · 1 shots · 20:50 TOI

@ NJD

2P

0G 2A

@ NJD 03-29

0G 2A · 3 shots · 16:52 TOI

vs WPG

1P

1G 0A

vs WPG 03-31

1G 0A · 3 shots · 16:49 TOI

@ EDM

0P

0G 0A

@ EDM 04-02

0G 0A · 1 shots · 17:21 TOI

@ SEA

0P

0G 0A

@ SEA 04-04

0G 0A · 1 shots · 16:50 TOI

@ SJS

1P

0G 1A

@ SJS 04-06

0G 1A · 4 shots · 18:44 TOI

vs CAR

2P

2G 0A

vs CAR 04-09

2G 0A · 5 shots · 20:31 TOI

vs STL

1P

0G 1A

vs STL 04-11

0G 1A · 6 shots · 19:11 TOI

vs BUF

0P

0G 0A

vs BUF 04-13

0G 0A · 5 shots · 19:06 TOI

vs SJS

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS 04-15

0G 0A · 1 shots · 13:14 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)91 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 2 of 3 goals live there

Defensive floor: 15 blocks · 0 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2025-26	Chicago Blackhawks	12	3	6	9	-1
Career	1 team	12	3	6	9	-1