Regular season

Connor Bedard

Chicago Blackhawks · C · #98

First-line playerDual Threat?30G + 45A - elite at finishing and creating (top ~10% of forwards in both)

HT: 5'10"
WT: 190 lb
Age: 21
Shoots: R
From: North Vancouver, CAN
Draft: 2023 CHI · R1 #1

89Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

8787pctl

8787pctl

8686pctl

2828pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

1.0995pctl

0.4392pctl

0.6595pctl

3.396pctl

-187pctl

2188pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

15.1%100pctl

3.7892pctl

0.2993pctl

Def Suppression?

0.1718pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

47.1%34pctl

D-Zone FO %?

49.5%50pctl

9.763pctl

0.3140pctl

3:3093pctl

0:0114pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 42 GP tracked · 15h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

40.7%4pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

40.6%16pctl

O-zone deployment?

58%82pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.9 min84pctl

Support received?

17.5 min43pctl

D-zone deployment?

42%18pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1071pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.2974pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.3049pctl

1.06×89pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.43/gm3pctl

Pressure escape rate?

7.0%29pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1198 EV min

General Offense

7.3781

9.3773

Shot Setups/60?

0.8543

Chance Setups/60?

0.7045

Primary Contributions/60?

8.2277

Rebounds Created/60?

0.4548

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0548

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.5548

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.4572

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0036

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0529

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.8072

Rush Offense/60?

10.6785

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.3516

0.5021

0.1550

Deflections/60?

0.7016

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.2577

Entries Finished/60?

1.0074

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.6575

Entry → Chance %?

65%57

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.0039

0.2547

0.7542

Retrieval Success %?

25%48

Exit Involvements/60?

0.1077

Exit Success %?

10%83

Forechecking

1.6024

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.95M

cap hit

$10.83M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A+

Massive surplus value (+$9.9M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Connor Bedard	89	Dual Threat	75 P · 69 GP	$0.95M	$10.83M	A++$9.9M	this player
Dylan Larkin	86	Sniper	67 P · 74 GP	$8.70M	$9.72M	B+$1.0M	92%
Jack Hughes	93	Dual Threat	77 P · 61 GP	$8.00M	$13.65M	A++$5.6M	87%
Mika Zibanejad	87	Top-Six Threat	78 P · 81 GP	$8.50M	$10.09M	B+$1.6M	87%
Macklin Celebrini	96	Dual Threat	115 P · 82 GP	$0.97M	$16.12M	A++$15.1M	87%

Chemistry

Top connection: Tyler Bertuzzi · 19 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Connor’s goals

Creates for

goals Connor assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

8 pts · 0 G · 8 A · 30 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ NYR

0P

0G 0A

@ NYR 03-27

0G 0A · 3 shots · 20:32 TOI

@ NJD

1P

0G 1A

@ NJD 03-29

0G 1A · 6 shots · 20:40 TOI

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG 03-31

0G 0A · 0 shots · 19:57 TOI

@ EDM

1P

0G 1A

@ EDM 04-02

0G 1A · 3 shots · 20:14 TOI

@ SEA

2P

0G 2A

@ SEA 04-04

0G 2A · 2 shots · 17:41 TOI

@ SJS

1P

0G 1A

@ SJS 04-06

0G 1A · 7 shots · 21:13 TOI

vs CAR

0P

0G 0A

vs CAR 04-09

0G 0A · 3 shots · 20:22 TOI

vs STL

1P

0G 1A

vs STL 04-11

0G 1A · 6 shots · 23:01 TOI

vs BUF

0P

0G 0A

vs BUF 04-13

0G 0A · 0 shots · 22:31 TOI

vs SJS

2P

0G 2A

vs SJS 04-15

0G 2A · 0 shots · 17:51 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)604 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 9 of 30 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 25 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 30 blocks · 5 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2023-24	Chicago Blackhawks	68	22	39	61	-44
2024-25	Chicago Blackhawks	82	23	44	67	-36
2025-26	Chicago Blackhawks	69	30	45	75	-18
Career	1 team	219	75	128	203	-98