HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Marcus Foligno

Minnesota Wild · LW · #17
Bottom-six playerWrecking Ball?180 hits (15.0/60) - physically tilts every shift
HT
6'3"
WT
226 lb
Age
34
Shoots
L
From
Buffalo, USA
Draft
2009 BUF · R4 #104
57Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
3535pctl
Playmaking?
2222pctl
Transition?
2626pctl
Defense?
8282pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.2321pctl
Goals / GP?
0.1435pctl
Assists / GP?
0.0911pctl
Shots / GP?
1.232pctl
Plus/Minus?
-1217pctl
PP Points?
241pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
4.5%49pctl
ZEIS?
1.2732pctl
PSPL?
0.0624pctl
Def Suppression?
1.1696pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP
Shots / 60?
5.423pctl
Hits / 60?
15.092pctl
Take : Give?
0.3871pctl
Blocks / 60?
3.9297pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:0820pctl
PK TOI / GP?
1:2685pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 28 GP tracked · 6h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.1 min25pctl
Support received?
17.1 min54pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 631 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$4.00M

cap hit

$1.46M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

F

Well above market ($2.5M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Marcus Foligno57$4.00MF$2.5Mthis player
Taylor Raddysh56$1.50MC$0.2M87%
Adam Erne56--85%
Ondrej Palat55$6.00MF$4.8M83%
Adam Klapka55$1.25MC$0.1M83%

Chemistry

Top connection: Vladimir Tarasenko · 3 goals together

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 2 G · 0 A · 11 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA

0P

0G 0A

@ FLA

1P

1G 0A

@ BOS

0P

0G 0A

vs VAN

0P

0G 0A

@ OTT

0P

0G 0A

@ DET

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA

1P

1G 0A

@ DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ NSH

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)106 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 4 of 8 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 8 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 62 blocks · 7 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2011-12Buffalo Sabres1467136
2012-13Buffalo Sabres4751318-4
2013-14Buffalo Sabres7471219-17
2014-15Buffalo Sabres5781220-5
2015-16Buffalo Sabres751013234
2016-17Buffalo Sabres80131023-1
2017-18Minnesota Wild77815232
2018-19Minnesota Wild8271219-1
2019-20Minnesota Wild591114258
2020-21Minnesota Wild3911152619
2021-22Minnesota Wild7423194225
2022-23Minnesota Wild6571421-6
2023-24Minnesota Wild5510122210
2024-25Minnesota Wild771415297
2025-26Minnesota Wild568513-12
Career2 teams93114818833635