Regular season

Jake Middleton

Calgary Flames · D · #55

Third-pair DDepth Defenseman?117 blocks in 75 games of hard minutes

HT: 6'3"
WT: 219 lb
Age: 30
Shoots: L
From: Wainwright, CAN
Draft: 2014 LAK · R7 #210

67Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

3636pctl

4545pctl

3333pctl

6666pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.2137pctl

0.0324pctl

0.1940pctl

0.827pctl

+254pctl

027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

1.7%15pctl

1.0322pctl

0.1042pctl

Def Suppression?

1.0995pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

1.5671pctl

5.3479pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

7.483pctl

4.067pctl

0.2234pctl

0:0114pctl

1:5969pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 45 GP tracked · 13h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

48.1%36pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

51.0%57pctl

O-zone deployment?

50%50pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.4 min48pctl

Support received?

16.4 min82pctl

D-zone deployment?

50%50pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0428pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.2215pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.1719pctl

1.00×55pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.24/gm42pctl

Pressure escape rate?

10.4%92pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1163 EV min

General Offense

3.0433

2.6331

Shot Setups/60?

0.6231

Chance Setups/60?

0.5233

Primary Contributions/60?

3.6632

Rebounds Created/60?

0.3146

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.1084

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.2119

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.0526

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0034

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0536

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.9167

Rush Offense/60?

3.8713

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.2134

0.3672

0.0552

Deflections/60?

0.1576

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0570

Entries Finished/60?

0.0514

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.0018

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.459

0.1513

1.2912

Retrieval Success %?

11%24

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0037

Exit Success %?

0%37

Forechecking

0.5266

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0048

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$4.35M

cap hit

$3.91M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (−$0.4M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Jake Middleton	67	Depth Defenseman	16 P · 75 GP	$4.35M	$3.91M	C−$0.4M	this player
Erik Cernak	67	Depth Defenseman	11 P · 61 GP	$5.20M	$3.91M	D−$1.3M	93%
Trevor van Riemsdyk	68	Depth Defenseman	14 P · 68 GP	$3.00M	$4.20M	B+$1.2M	87%
Will Borgen	67	Depth Defenseman	15 P · 75 GP	$4.10M	$3.91M	C−$0.2M	87%
Tyler Kleven	65	Depth Defenseman	18 P · 70 GP	$1.60M	$3.35M	B+$1.8M	87%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Jake’s goals

Creates for

goals Jake assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 1 G · 1 A · 8 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ FLA

0P

0G 0A

@ FLA 03-26

0G 0A · 2 shots · 17:42 TOI

@ BOS

0P

0G 0A

@ BOS 03-28

0G 0A · 1 shots · 14:43 TOI

vs VAN

0P

0G 0A

vs VAN 04-02

0G 0A · 0 shots · 18:54 TOI

@ OTT

1P

1G 0A

@ OTT 04-04

1G 0A · 1 shots · 20:58 TOI

@ DET

1P

0G 1A

@ DET 04-05

0G 1A · 0 shots · 18:15 TOI

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA 04-07

0G 0A · 0 shots · 17:30 TOI

@ DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ DAL 04-09

0G 0A · 1 shots · 11:55 TOI

@ NSH

0P

0G 0A

@ NSH 04-11

0G 0A · 1 shots · 19:55 TOI

@ STL

0P

0G 0A

@ STL 04-13

0G 0A · 2 shots · 14:51 TOI

vs ANA

0P

0G 0A

vs ANA 04-14

0G 0A · 0 shots · 18:43 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)275 events shown

The office: the right circle - 2 of 2 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 11 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 118 blocks · 4 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2018-19	San Jose Sharks	3	0	1	1	-1
2019-20	San Jose Sharks	10	0	2	2	-2
2020-21	San Jose Sharks	1	0	0	0	-2
2021-22	San Jose Sharks	45	3	6	9	3
2021-22	Minnesota Wild	21	1	4	5	7
2022-23	Minnesota Wild	79	3	12	15	15
2023-24	Minnesota Wild	80	7	18	25	-15
2024-25	Minnesota Wild	67	8	13	21	11
2025-26	Minnesota Wild	75	2	14	16	2
Career	2 teams	381	24	70	94	18