HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Ondrej Palat

New York Islanders · LW · #81
Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 133 hits (7.8/60)
HT
6'0"
WT
194 lb
Age
35
Shoots
L
From
Frydek-Mistek, CZE
Draft
2011 TBL · R7 #208
55Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
2525pctl
Playmaking?
2828pctl
Transition?
2525pctl
Defense?
7171pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.1914pctl
Goals / GP?
0.0613pctl
Assists / GP?
0.1321pctl
Shots / GP?
1.024pctl
Plus/Minus?
-1120pctl
PP Points?
241pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
4.6%51pctl
ZEIS?
1.1928pctl
PSPL?
0.0832pctl
Def Suppression?
0.7581pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP
Shots / 60?
4.913pctl
Hits / 60?
7.876pctl
Take : Give?
0.2948pctl
Blocks / 60?
3.9196pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:4635pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:1356pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 46 GP tracked · 10h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.4 min45pctl
Support received?
18.1 min26pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 948 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$6.00M

cap hit

$1.16M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

F

Well above market ($4.8M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Ondrej Palat55$6.00MF$4.8Mthis player
Taylor Raddysh56$1.50MC$0.2M92%
Alexey Toropchenko53$1.70MD$0.8M87%
Jeffrey Truchon-Viel58$0.78MB+$0.9M84%
Landon Slaggert54$0.90MC+$0.1M84%

Chemistry

Top connection: Matthew Schaefer · 4 goals together

Recent form · last 10 games

1 pts · 0 G · 1 A · 6 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs CHI

0P

0G 0A

vs DAL

0P

0G 0A

vs FLA

0P

0G 0A

vs PIT

0P

0G 0A

@ BUF

0P

0G 0A

vs PHI

0P

0G 0A

@ CAR

0P

0G 0A

vs TOR

1P

0G 1A

vs OTT

0P

0G 0A

vs CAR

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)169 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 3 of 5 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 10 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 78 blocks · 3 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2012-13Tampa Bay Lightning142245
2013-14Tampa Bay Lightning8123365932
2014-15Tampa Bay Lightning7516476331
2015-16Tampa Bay Lightning6216244010
2016-17Tampa Bay Lightning751735528
2017-18Tampa Bay Lightning5611243516
2018-19Tampa Bay Lightning64826344
2019-20Tampa Bay Lightning6917244125
2020-21Tampa Bay Lightning551531461
2021-22Tampa Bay Lightning7718314915
2022-23New Jersey Devils49815235
2023-24New Jersey Devils71112031-9
2024-25New Jersey Devils77151328-5
2025-26New Jersey Devils514610-5
2025-26New York Islanders29145-6
Career3 teams905182338520127