HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Olli Maatta

Minnesota Wild · D · #3
Third-pair DDepth Defenseman?15 points and 62 blocks in 43 games in a supporting role
HT
6'2"
WT
207 lb
Age
31
Shoots
L
From
Jyväskylä, FIN
Draft
2012 PIT · R1 #22
64Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
3838pctl
Playmaking?
3838pctl
Transition?
1717pctl
Defense?
5656pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.3563pctl
Goals / GP?
0.0542pctl
Assists / GP?
0.3068pctl
Shots / GP?
0.824pctl
Plus/Minus?
-628pctl
PP Points?
027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
1.5%11pctl
ZEIS?
-0.062pctl
PSPL?
0.002pctl
Def Suppression?
0.5767pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Blocks / GP?
1.4462pctl
Blocks / 60?
5.0273pctl
Hits / 60?
0.21pctl
Take : Give?
0.2650pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:0224pctl
PK TOI / GP?
1:1942pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 31 GP tracked · 10h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.5 min54pctl
Support received?
15.6 min95pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 682 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$3.50M

cap hit

$3.09M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal ($0.4M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Olli Maatta64$3.50MC$0.4Mthis player
Ian Cole62$2.80MC$0.2M92%
Jamieson Oleksiak63$4.60MD$1.8M89%
Johnathan Kovacevic63$4.00MD$1.2M88%
Nick Leddy62--87%

Chemistry

Top connection: Ryan Strome · 4 goals together

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

6 pts · 1 G · 5 A · 9 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs VAN

2P

1G 1A

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ ANA

1P

0G 1A

@ DAL

1P

0G 1A

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

@ SEA

1P

0G 1A

vs UTA

1P

0G 1A

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs LAK

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)144 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 1 of 2 goals live there

Defensive floor: 62 blocks · 7 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2013-14Pittsburgh Penguins78920298
2014-15Pittsburgh Penguins201891
2015-16Pittsburgh Penguins676131927
2016-17Pittsburgh Penguins5516717
2017-18Pittsburgh Penguins8272229-1
2018-19Pittsburgh Penguins60113149
2019-20Chicago Blackhawks65413170
2020-21Los Angeles Kings41044-8
2021-22Los Angeles Kings6617817
2022-23Detroit Red Wings7861723-9
2023-24Detroit Red Wings724141814
2024-25Detroit Red Wings70000
2024-25Utah Hockey Club70216187
2025-26Utah Mammoth22011-5
2025-26Calgary Flames2121214-1
Career7 teams8044416621076