Regular season

Matvei Gridin

Calgary Flames · RW · #92

Middle-six playerDepth Forward?20 points in 37 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'1"
WT: 182 lb
Age: 20
Shoots: L
From: Kurgan, RUS
Draft: 2024 CGY · R1 #28

70Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

4646pctl

6767pctl

7171pctl

2626pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.5464pctl

0.1642pctl

0.3873pctl

1.969pctl

-1414pctl

763pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

6.9%72pctl

2.9583pctl

0.1977pctl

Def Suppression?

0.2425pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

7.568pctl

1.210pctl

0.1710pctl

2.9988pctl

1:5662pctl

0:0136pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 29 GP tracked · 7h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

41.1%5pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

43.6%25pctl

O-zone deployment?

70%99pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.4 min47pctl

Support received?

17.1 min54pctl

D-zone deployment?

30%1pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0859pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.7144pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.3966pctl

0.92×14pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.25/gm37pctl

Pressure escape rate?

8.1%57pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 489 EV min

General Offense

6.5163

8.9765

Shot Setups/60?

0.4924

Chance Setups/60?

0.4930

Primary Contributions/60?

7.0057

Rebounds Created/60?

0.1219

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0031

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.2523

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2540

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0039

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0024

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

2.0975

Rush Offense/60?

9.0967

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.6143

0.4926

0.1245

Deflections/60?

0.7424

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.1251

Entries Finished/60?

1.6082

Entries w/ Chance/60?

1.1183

Entry → Chance %?

69%61

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.7276

0.0019

1.7282

Retrieval Success %?

0%17

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0037

Exit Success %?

0%34

Forechecking

1.4728

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0043

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.94M

cap hit

$4.50M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$3.6M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Matvei Gridin	70	Depth Forward	20 P · 37 GP	$0.94M	$4.50M	A+$3.6M	this player
Evander Kane	69	Depth Forward	31 P · 71 GP	-	$4.22M	-	86%
Mackie Samoskevich	67	Depth Forward	32 P · 77 GP	$0.78M	$3.68M	A+$2.9M	84%
Jeff Skinner	66	Depth Forward	13 P · 32 GP	-	$3.42M	-	81%
Michael Bunting	67	Depth Forward	33 P · 74 GP	-	$3.68M	-	81%

Chemistry

Top connection: Matt Coronato · 4 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Matvei’s goals

Creates for

goals Matvei assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

7 pts · 2 G · 5 A · 16 shots in last 10Steady(-0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs ANA

1P

1G 0A

vs ANA 03-26

1G 0A · 1 shots · 16:26 TOI

vs VAN

1P

0G 1A

vs VAN 03-28

0G 1A · 1 shots · 16:51 TOI

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

@ COL 03-30

0G 0A · 1 shots · 13:55 TOI

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ VGK 04-02

0G 0A · 4 shots · 15:09 TOI

@ ANA

2P

1G 1A

@ ANA 04-04

1G 1A · 3 shots · 14:02 TOI

@ DAL

1P

0G 1A

@ DAL 04-07

0G 1A · 1 shots · 18:11 TOI

@ COL

1P

0G 1A

@ COL 04-09

0G 1A · 2 shots · 18:48 TOI

@ SEA

0P

0G 0A

@ SEA 04-11

0G 0A · 1 shots · 19:58 TOI

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs COL 04-14

0G 0A · 2 shots · 16:03 TOI

vs LAK

1P

0G 1A

vs LAK 04-16

0G 1A · 0 shots · 18:34 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)141 events shown

The office: the perimeter - 2 of 6 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 9 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 30 blocks · 0 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2025-26	Calgary Flames	37	6	14	20	-14
Career	1 team	37	6	14	20	-14