Regular season

Victor Olofsson

Vegas Golden Knights · RW · #95

Middle-six playerDepth Forward?31 points in 78 games in a supporting role

HT: 5'11"
WT: 180 lb
Age: 31
Shoots: L
From: Ornskoldsvik, SWE
Draft: 2014 BUF · R7 #181

65Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

4848pctl

4444pctl

5858pctl

2929pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.4046pctl

0.1744pctl

0.2349pctl

1.968pctl

+575pctl

763pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

5.9%63pctl

2.3370pctl

0.1042pctl

Def Suppression?

0.2223pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

8.381pctl

1.07pctl

0.2846pctl

1.1919pctl

2:0566pctl

0:0016pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 47 GP tracked · 10h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

51.3%62pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

53.8%70pctl

O-zone deployment?

53%65pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.1 min33pctl

Support received?

16.9 min63pctl

D-zone deployment?

47%35pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1693pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.8149pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.4068pctl

0.96×34pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.14/gm82pctl

Pressure escape rate?

7.8%50pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 895 EV min

General Offense

6.9174

8.3158

Shot Setups/60?

1.0761

Chance Setups/60?

0.6742

Primary Contributions/60?

7.9872

Rebounds Created/60?

0.4752

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.1375

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.4738

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.4065

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0037

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.1356

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.8873

Rush Offense/60?

8.5163

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.5433

1.0167

0.2775

Deflections/60?

1.1437

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0737

Entries Finished/60?

0.6744

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.4042

Entry → Chance %?

60%44

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.4167

0.4775

0.9457

Retrieval Success %?

33%71

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0771

Exit Success %?

5%62

Forechecking

0.9414

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$1.57M

cap hit

$3.17M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.6M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Victor Olofsson	65	Depth Forward	31 P · 78 GP	$1.57M	$3.17M	B+$1.6M	this player
Michael Bunting	67	Depth Forward	33 P · 74 GP	-	$3.68M	-	93%
Jeff Skinner	66	Depth Forward	13 P · 32 GP	-	$3.42M	-	90%
Mackie Samoskevich	67	Depth Forward	32 P · 77 GP	$0.78M	$3.68M	A+$2.9M	87%
Matthew Wood	66	Depth Forward	30 P · 71 GP	$0.95M	$3.42M	A+$2.5M	87%

Chemistry

Top connection: Nathan MacKinnon · 7 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Victor’s goals

Creates for

goals Victor assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 0 G · 3 A · 17 shots in last 10Steady(-0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs LAK

1P

0G 1A

vs LAK 03-24

0G 1A · 1 shots · 16:09 TOI

vs ANA

0P

0G 0A

vs ANA 03-26

0G 0A · 4 shots · 15:53 TOI

vs VAN

0P

0G 0A

vs VAN 03-28

0G 0A · 1 shots · 13:43 TOI

@ COL

1P

0G 1A

@ COL 03-30

0G 1A · 3 shots · 14:45 TOI

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ VGK 04-02

0G 0A · 1 shots · 11:58 TOI

@ ANA

1P

0G 1A

@ ANA 04-04

0G 1A · 2 shots · 13:08 TOI

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

@ COL 04-09

0G 0A · 0 shots · 12:07 TOI

vs UTA

0P

0G 0A

vs UTA 04-12

0G 0A · 1 shots · 16:45 TOI

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs COL 04-14

0G 0A · 3 shots · 14:48 TOI

vs LAK

0P

0G 0A

vs LAK 04-16

0G 0A · 1 shots · 9:03 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)265 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 5 of 13 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 19 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 26 blocks · 8 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2018-19	Buffalo Sabres	6	2	2	4	1
2019-20	Buffalo Sabres	54	20	22	42	-1
2020-21	Buffalo Sabres	56	13	19	32	-23
2021-22	Buffalo Sabres	72	20	29	49	-16
2022-23	Buffalo Sabres	75	28	12	40	-23
2023-24	Buffalo Sabres	51	7	8	15	-1
2024-25	Vegas Golden Knights	56	15	14	29	17
2025-26	Colorado Avalanche	60	11	14	25	6
2025-26	Calgary Flames	18	2	4	6	-1
Career	4 teams	448	118	124	242	-41