Regular season

Kevin Bahl

Calgary Flames · D · #7

Third-pair DDepth Defenseman?99 blocks in 76 games of hard minutes

HT: 6'6"
WT: 230 lb
Age: 26
Shoots: L
From: New Westminster, CAN
Draft: 2018 ARI · R2 #55

63Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

3535pctl

4242pctl

2424pctl

5555pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.2443pctl

0.0550pctl

0.1839pctl

0.820pctl

+254pctl

159pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

1.2%7pctl

0.548pctl

0.0937pctl

Def Suppression?

0.5362pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

1.3052pctl

3.5629pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

4.317pctl

4.169pctl

0.4795pctl

0:1655pctl

2:3585pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 48 GP tracked · 18h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

45.2%18pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

45.6%31pctl

O-zone deployment?

41%18pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

18.0 min94pctl

Support received?

17.2 min52pctl

D-zone deployment?

59%82pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0318pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.2113pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.1311pctl

0.99×48pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.44/gm3pctl

Pressure escape rate?

8.2%58pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1451 EV min

General Offense

2.1510

2.0311

Shot Setups/60?

0.7442

Chance Setups/60?

0.4524

Primary Contributions/60?

2.8912

Rebounds Created/60?

0.2128

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0030

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.4155

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.1753

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0465

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.1261

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

0.839

Rush Offense/60?

3.398

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.0813

0.2146

0.0444

Deflections/60?

0.0022

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0461

Entries Finished/60?

0.1219

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.0428

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

3.3980

0.9189

2.4868

Retrieval Success %?

27%85

Exit Involvements/60?

0.1288

Exit Success %?

4%85

Forechecking

0.9989

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0048

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$5.35M

cap hit

$2.83M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

F

Well above market (−$2.5M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Kevin Bahl	63	Depth Defenseman	18 P · 76 GP	$5.35M	$2.83M	F−$2.5M	this player
Dylan DeMelo	62	Depth Defenseman	19 P · 82 GP	$4.90M	$2.59M	D−$2.3M	92%
Marcus Pettersson	63	Depth Defenseman	18 P · 82 GP	$5.50M	$2.83M	F−$2.7M	90%
Ian Cole	62	Depth Defenseman	23 P · 82 GP	$2.80M	$2.59M	C−$0.2M	85%
Tyler Myers	64	Depth Defenseman	11 P · 73 GP	$3.00M	$3.09M	C+$0.1M	84%

Chemistry

Top connection: Nazem Kadri · 3 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Kevin’s goals

Creates for

goals Kevin assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 0 G · 2 A · 1 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs STL

0P

0G 0A

vs STL 03-18

0G 0A · 1 shots · 21:02 TOI

vs FLA

0P

0G 0A

vs FLA 03-20

0G 0A · 0 shots · 20:12 TOI

vs TBL

1P

0G 1A

vs TBL 03-22

0G 1A · 0 shots · 22:46 TOI

vs LAK

0P

0G 0A

vs LAK 03-24

0G 0A · 0 shots · 22:41 TOI

vs ANA

0P

0G 0A

vs ANA 03-26

0G 0A · 0 shots · 26:06 TOI

vs VAN

0P

0G 0A

vs VAN 03-28

0G 0A · 0 shots · 22:12 TOI

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

@ COL 03-30

0G 0A · 0 shots · 23:10 TOI

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ VGK 04-02

0G 0A · 0 shots · 23:05 TOI

@ ANA

1P

0G 1A

@ ANA 04-04

0G 1A · 0 shots · 24:17 TOI

@ DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ DAL 04-07

0G 0A · 0 shots · 1:15 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)285 events shown

The office: the right point - 2 of 4 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 20 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 99 blocks · 30 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2020-21	New Jersey Devils	7	0	2	2	0
2021-22	New Jersey Devils	17	1	3	4	-6
2022-23	New Jersey Devils	42	2	6	8	4
2023-24	New Jersey Devils	82	1	10	11	1
2024-25	Calgary Flames	73	3	17	20	-6
2025-26	Calgary Flames	76	4	14	18	2
Career	2 teams	297	11	52	63	-5