HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Andre Burakovsky

Ottawa Senators · LW · #95
Middle-six playerDepth Forward?33 points in 75 games in a supporting role
HT
6'3"
WT
203 lb
Age
31
Shoots
L
From
Klagenfurt, AUT
Draft
2013 WSH · R1 #23
67Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
3838pctl
Playmaking?
6363pctl
Transition?
5151pctl
Defense?
6666pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.4451pctl
Goals / GP?
0.1537pctl
Assists / GP?
0.2961pctl
Shots / GP?
1.231pctl
Plus/Minus?
-320pctl
PP Points?
1070pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
5.9%63pctl
ZEIS?
2.0162pctl
PSPL?
0.1873pctl
Def Suppression?
0.4857pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP
Shots / 60?
4.26pctl
Hits / 60?
0.95pctl
Take : Give?
0.4986pctl
Blocks / 60?
1.7047pctl
PP TOI / GP?
2:1370pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:0024pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 48 GP tracked · 13h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.6 min62pctl
Support received?
17.9 min32pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1065 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$5.50M

cap hit

$3.68M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium ($1.8M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Andre Burakovsky67$5.50MD$1.8Mthis player
David Perron68--82%
Erik Haula68$3.15MB+$0.8M82%
Braeden Bowman69$0.88MA+$3.3M80%
Oliver Bjorkstrand68$5.40MD$1.5M80%

Chemistry

Top connection: Connor Bedard · 11 goals together

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 0 G · 2 A · 6 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ PHI

0P

0G 0A

@ NYR

0P

0G 0A

@ NJD

1P

0G 1A

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

@ EDM

0P

0G 0A

@ SEA

0P

0G 0A

vs CAR

0P

0G 0A

vs STL

0P

0G 0A

vs BUF

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS

1P

0G 1A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)186 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 4 of 11 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 15 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 39 blocks · 14 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2014-15Washington Capitals539132212
2015-16Washington Capitals791721384
2016-17Washington Capitals6412233513
2017-18Washington Capitals561213253
2018-19Washington Capitals761213252
2019-20Colorado Avalanche5820254511
2020-21Colorado Avalanche531925444
2021-22Colorado Avalanche8022396112
2022-23Seattle Kraken49132639-9
2023-24Seattle Kraken497916-15
2024-25Seattle Kraken79102737-3
2025-26Chicago Blackhawks75112233-32
Career4 teams7711642564202