Regular season

Colton Dach

Edmonton Oilers · C · #34

Bottom-six playerWrecking Ball?219 hits (18.8/60) - physically tilts every shift

HT: 6'4"
WT: 218 lb
Age: 23
Shoots: L
From: St. Albert, CAN
Draft: 2021 CHI · R2 #62

56Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

2424pctl

2525pctl

3636pctl

6868pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.2116pctl

0.0818pctl

0.1322pctl

1.018pctl

-1512pctl

241pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

4.7%52pctl

1.5845pctl

0.0519pctl

Def Suppression?

0.5463pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

36.6%4pctl

1.215pctl

0.4579pctl

0:4544pctl

0:0116pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 36 GP tracked · 7h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

47.1%27pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

37.5%10pctl

O-zone deployment?

48%41pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.9 min14pctl

Support received?

16.3 min84pctl

D-zone deployment?

52%59pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0536pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.8552pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.2947pctl

0.92×16pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.21/gm56pctl

Pressure escape rate?

7.9%51pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 653 EV min

General Offense

4.9635

7.7249

Shot Setups/60?

1.0155

Chance Setups/60?

0.5532

Primary Contributions/60?

5.9738

Rebounds Created/60?

0.4650

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0965

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.3728

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.4670

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0038

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0943

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.4753

Rush Offense/60?

7.6349

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.7455

0.8354

0.0020

Deflections/60?

1.8470

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.1864

Entries Finished/60?

0.7450

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.2829

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.4770

0.6482

0.8349

Retrieval Success %?

44%79

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0035

Exit Success %?

0%32

Forechecking

12.5984

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0043

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.82M

cap hit

$1.30M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.5M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Colton Dach	56	Wrecking Ball	13 P · 61 GP	$0.82M	$1.30M	C+$0.5M	this player
Colton Sissons	55	Depth Forward	11 P · 66 GP	$2.86M	$1.16M	D−$1.7M	88%
Berkly Catton	57	Depth Forward	17 P · 66 GP	$0.94M	$1.46M	C+$0.5M	87%
John Beecher	56	Depth Forward	7 P · 35 GP	$0.90M	$1.30M	C+$0.4M	86%
Alex Turcotte	57	Depth Forward	14 P · 62 GP	$0.80M	$1.46M	C+$0.7M	85%

Chemistry

Top connection: Nick Foligno · 3 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Colton’s goals

Creates for

goals Colton assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

4 pts · 2 G · 2 A · 7 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ CBJ

0P

0G 0A

@ CBJ 02-04

0G 0A · 0 shots · 5:31 TOI

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

@ COL 02-28

0G 0A · 1 shots · 7:56 TOI

vs CAR

0P

0G 0A

vs CAR 03-06

0G 0A · 0 shots · 9:32 TOI

@ VGK

1P

0G 1A

@ VGK 03-08

0G 1A · 0 shots · 5:05 TOI

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

@ COL 03-10

0G 0A · 0 shots · 1:35 TOI

@ UTA

1P

1G 0A

@ UTA 04-07

1G 0A · 3 shots · 14:01 TOI

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

@ SJS 04-08

0G 0A · 0 shots · 12:27 TOI

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK 04-11

0G 0A · 2 shots · 12:57 TOI

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs COL 04-13

0G 0A · 0 shots · 11:50 TOI

vs VAN

2P

1G 1A

vs VAN 04-16

1G 1A · 1 shots · 13:42 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)159 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 4 of 5 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 11 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 35 blocks · 7 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2024-25	Chicago Blackhawks	25	2	5	7	-3
2025-26	Chicago Blackhawks	53	3	6	9	-15
2025-26	Edmonton Oilers	8	2	2	4	0
Career	2 teams	86	7	13	20	-18