Regular season

Garnet Hathaway

Florida Panthers · RW · #21

Depth playerWrecking Ball?252 hits (22.0/60) - physically tilts every shift

HT: 6'2"
WT: 212 lb
Age: 34
Shoots: R
From: Naples, USA

51Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

99pctl

3636pctl

99pctl

7171pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.051pctl

0.021pctl

0.031pctl

0.51pctl

-634pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

1.9%17pctl

0.335pctl

0.1770pctl

Def Suppression?

0.8688pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

3.01pctl

22.098pctl

0.2635pctl

5.06100pctl

0:029pctl

1:0980pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 38 GP tracked · 7h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

43.7%10pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

45.0%30pctl

O-zone deployment?

35%9pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.9 min18pctl

Support received?

16.2 min87pctl

D-zone deployment?

65%91pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0212pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.2922pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.073pctl

0.94×23pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.13/gm87pctl

Pressure escape rate?

7.5%41pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 609 EV min

General Offense

3.0616

3.9415

Shot Setups/60?

0.6933

Chance Setups/60?

0.6944

Primary Contributions/60?

3.7516

Rebounds Created/60?

0.6974

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0030

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.3931

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2032

Deflection Setups/60?

0.1079

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.3984

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

0.9928

Rush Offense/60?

5.1318

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.2016

0.2016

0.0021

Deflections/60?

1.2846

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.1045

Entries Finished/60?

0.8963

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.3032

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.0847

0.1026

0.9961

Retrieval Success %?

9%21

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0036

Exit Success %?

0%33

Forechecking

14.4984

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0043

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$2.40M

cap hit

$0.86M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium (−$1.5M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Garnet Hathaway	51	Wrecking Ball	3 P · 66 GP	$2.40M	$0.86M	D−$1.5M	this player
Beck Malenstyn	55	Wrecking Ball	14 P · 81 GP	$1.35M	$1.16M	C−$0.2M	87%
Jordan Greenway	53	Depth Forward	6 P · 40 GP	$4.00M	$0.92M	F−$3.1M	83%
Keegan Kolesar	54	Wrecking Ball	17 P · 82 GP	$2.50M	$1.03M	D−$1.5M	82%
Alexey Toropchenko	53	Depth Forward	11 P · 65 GP	$1.70M	$0.92M	D−$0.8M	82%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Garnet’s goals

Creates for

goals Garnet assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

0 pts · 0 G · 0 A · 7 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

@ SJS 03-21

0G 0A · 1 shots · 11:39 TOI

vs CBJ

0P

0G 0A

vs CBJ 03-24

0G 0A · 2 shots · 12:43 TOI

vs CHI

0P

0G 0A

vs CHI 03-26

0G 0A · 2 shots · 11:39 TOI

@ DET

0P

0G 0A

@ DET 03-28

0G 0A · 0 shots · 11:09 TOI

vs DAL

0P

0G 0A

vs DAL 03-29

0G 0A · 1 shots · 11:41 TOI

@ WSH

0P

0G 0A

@ WSH 03-31

0G 0A · 0 shots · 7:23 TOI

@ NYI

0P

0G 0A

@ NYI 04-03

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:03 TOI

@ WPG

0P

0G 0A

@ WPG 04-11

0G 0A · 1 shots · 11:48 TOI

vs CAR

0P

0G 0A

vs CAR 04-13

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:28 TOI

vs MTL

0P

0G 0A

vs MTL 04-14

0G 0A · 0 shots · 12:43 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)73 events shown

Playmaking gravity: 8 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 70 blocks · 4 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2015-16	Calgary Flames	14	0	3	3	-1
2016-17	Calgary Flames	26	1	4	5	0
2017-18	Calgary Flames	59	4	9	13	3
2018-19	Calgary Flames	76	11	8	19	14
2019-20	Washington Capitals	66	9	7	16	6
2020-21	Washington Capitals	56	6	12	18	7
2021-22	Washington Capitals	76	14	12	26	19
2022-23	Washington Capitals	59	9	7	16	6
2022-23	Boston Bruins	25	4	2	6	-1
2023-24	Philadelphia Flyers	82	7	10	17	-7
2024-25	Philadelphia Flyers	67	10	11	21	5
2025-26	Philadelphia Flyers	66	1	2	3	-6
Career	4 teams	672	76	87	163	45