Regular season

Noah Juulsen

Colorado Avalanche · D · #47

Depth DHeavy Hitter?104 hits (8.7/60) - punishes the forecheck

HT: 6'2"
WT: 201 lb
Age: 29
Shoots: R
From: Surrey, CAN
Draft: 2015 MTL · R1 #26

53Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

1818pctl

2828pctl

1313pctl

2424pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.1928pctl

0.0216pctl

0.1734pctl

0.51pctl

+359pctl

027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

0.9%3pctl

-0.261pctl

0.0310pctl

Def Suppression?

-0.372pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.8712pctl

3.7537pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

4.216pctl

8.796pctl

0.1922pctl

0:006pctl

1:2848pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 31 GP tracked · 7h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

48.0%35pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

53.1%66pctl

O-zone deployment?

55%73pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.7 min9pctl

Support received?

15.4 min97pctl

D-zone deployment?

45%27pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.004pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.189pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.041pctl

0.87×4pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.18/gm66pctl

Pressure escape rate?

8.3%60pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 642 EV min

General Offense

2.2416

2.8139

Shot Setups/60?

0.8455

Chance Setups/60?

0.7562

Primary Contributions/60?

3.0922

Rebounds Created/60?

0.3757

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0978

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.1922

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.0019

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0036

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.3786

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.3132

Rush Offense/60?

4.9635

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.1933

0.0017

0.0028

Deflections/60?

0.0026

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0033

Entries Finished/60?

0.2851

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.0948

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

5.0586

0.6574

4.4086

Retrieval Success %?

13%38

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0038

Exit Success %?

0%38

Forechecking

1.3184

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0049

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.90M

cap hit

$0.93M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.0M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Noah Juulsen	53	Heavy Hitter	10 P · 52 GP	$0.90M	$0.93M	C+$0.0M	this player
Jayden Struble	53	Heavy Hitter	12 P · 59 GP	$1.41M	$0.93M	C−$0.5M	94%
David Jiricek	52	Depth Defenseman	0 P · 26 GP	$0.92M	$0.86M	C−$0.1M	91%
Dmitri Simashev	54	Depth Defenseman	1 P · 28 GP	$0.95M	$1.04M	C+$0.1M	88%
Elias Pettersson	56	Heavy Hitter	10 P · 70 GP	$0.84M	$1.34M	C+$0.5M	83%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Noah’s goals

Creates for

goals Noah assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

1 pts · 0 G · 1 A · 6 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ WSH

0P

0G 0A

@ WSH 02-25

0G 0A · 0 shots · 15:08 TOI

vs UTA

0P

0G 0A

vs UTA 03-05

0G 0A · 1 shots · 12:41 TOI

@ PIT

0P

0G 0A

@ PIT 03-07

0G 0A · 1 shots · 11:27 TOI

vs NYR

0P

0G 0A

vs NYR 03-09

0G 0A · 3 shots · 16:26 TOI

vs WSH

0P

0G 0A

vs WSH 03-11

0G 0A · 0 shots · 11:15 TOI

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK 03-19

0G 0A · 1 shots · 12:19 TOI

@ SJS

1P

0G 1A

@ SJS 03-21

0G 1A · 0 shots · 8:53 TOI

vs CBJ

0P

0G 0A

vs CBJ 03-24

0G 0A · 0 shots · 12:58 TOI

@ NYI

0P

0G 0A

@ NYI 04-03

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:07 TOI

vs MTL

0P

0G 0A

vs MTL 04-14

0G 0A · 0 shots · 21:45 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)139 events shown

Playmaking gravity: 10 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 45 blocks · 7 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2017-18	Montréal Canadiens	23	1	2	3	1
2018-19	Montréal Canadiens	21	1	4	5	5
2020-21	Florida Panthers	4	0	0	0	-3
2021-22	Vancouver Canucks	8	0	2	2	-4
2022-23	Vancouver Canucks	12	0	0	0	1
2023-24	Vancouver Canucks	54	1	6	7	-1
2024-25	Vancouver Canucks	35	0	0	0	-12
2025-26	Philadelphia Flyers	52	1	9	10	3
Career	4 teams	209	4	23	27	-10