Regular season

Matvei Michkov

Philadelphia Flyers · RW · #39

Middle-six playerMiddle-Six Engine?Reliable minutes: 51 points and honest two-way play

HT: 5'10"
WT: 172 lb
Age: 21
Shoots: L
From: Perm, RUS
Draft: 2023 PHI · R1 #7

75Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

6565pctl

6969pctl

6363pctl

1515pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.6372pctl

0.2569pctl

0.3874pctl

2.072pctl

058pctl

1274pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

7.7%78pctl

2.3169pctl

0.1873pctl

Def Suppression?

-0.016pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

8.178pctl

1.618pctl

0.2533pctl

0.948pctl

2:1169pctl

0:0023pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 52 GP tracked · 13h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

52.8%75pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

56.3%78pctl

O-zone deployment?

64%95pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.3 min42pctl

Support received?

17.9 min33pctl

D-zone deployment?

36%5pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1177pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.6387pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.4880pctl

0.95×26pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.14/gm84pctl

Pressure escape rate?

8.7%70pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1025 EV min

General Offense

7.3880

8.4360

Shot Setups/60?

1.1769

Chance Setups/60?

1.0073

Primary Contributions/60?

8.5579

Rebounds Created/60?

0.5360

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.1273

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.5952

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.5380

Deflection Setups/60?

0.1284

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0633

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.1737

Rush Offense/60?

9.9579

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.7660

0.8859

0.1241

Deflections/60?

1.1738

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.1251

Entries Finished/60?

0.5329

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.3536

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.6479

0.2953

1.3582

Retrieval Success %?

18%30

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0667

Exit Success %?

4%56

Forechecking

1.8129

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0681

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.95M

cap hit

$5.99M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A+

Massive surplus value (+$5.0M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Matvei Michkov	75	Middle-Six Engine	51 P · 81 GP	$0.95M	$5.99M	A++$5.0M	this player
Ryan Leonard	75	Middle-Six Engine	45 P · 75 GP	$0.95M	$5.99M	A++$5.0M	90%
JJ Peterka	74	Middle-Six Engine	47 P · 82 GP	$7.70M	$5.68M	D−$2.0M	89%
Jack Quinn	77	Middle-Six Engine	51 P · 82 GP	$3.38M	$6.62M	A+$3.2M	88%
Jonathan Marchessault	71	Middle-Six Engine	31 P · 62 GP	$5.50M	$4.78M	C−$0.7M	86%

Chemistry

Top connection: Noah Cates · 9 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Matvei’s goals

Creates for

goals Matvei assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

12 pts · 4 G · 8 A · 28 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.8 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs DAL

1P

0G 1A

vs DAL 03-29

0G 1A · 4 shots · 15:16 TOI

@ WSH

0P

0G 0A

@ WSH 03-31

0G 0A · 1 shots · 14:09 TOI

vs DET

0P

0G 0A

vs DET 04-02

0G 0A · 3 shots · 13:48 TOI

@ NYI

3P

1G 2A

@ NYI 04-03

1G 2A · 3 shots · 11:43 TOI

vs BOS

0P

0G 0A

vs BOS 04-05

0G 0A · 2 shots · 16:41 TOI

@ NJD

2P

0G 2A

@ NJD 04-07

0G 2A · 0 shots · 13:46 TOI

@ DET

0P

0G 0A

@ DET 04-09

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:53 TOI

@ WPG

2P

1G 1A

@ WPG 04-11

1G 1A · 3 shots · 13:27 TOI

vs CAR

1P

1G 0A

vs CAR 04-13

1G 0A · 4 shots · 15:33 TOI

vs MTL

3P

1G 2A

vs MTL 04-14

1G 2A · 8 shots · 16:18 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)302 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 6 of 20 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 25 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 26 blocks · 6 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2024-25	Philadelphia Flyers	80	26	37	63	-18
2025-26	Philadelphia Flyers	81	20	31	51	0
Career	1 team	161	46	68	114	-18