HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Ivan Barbashev

Vegas Golden Knights · LW · #49
Top-six playerMiddle-Six Engine?Reliable minutes: 61 points and honest two-way play
HT
6'0"
WT
203 lb
Age
30
Shoots
L
From
Moscow, RUS
Draft
2014 STL · R2 #33
76Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
6767pctl
Playmaking?
6363pctl
Transition?
4848pctl
Defense?
2828pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.7481pctl
Goals / GP?
0.2875pctl
Assists / GP?
0.4684pctl
Shots / GP?
1.659pctl
Plus/Minus?
+2095pctl
PP Points?
659pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
7.1%74pctl
ZEIS?
1.6347pctl
PSPL?
0.1251pctl
Def Suppression?
0.2931pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP
Shots / 60?
6.035pctl
Hits / 60?
6.266pctl
Take : Give?
0.1710pctl
Blocks / 60?
1.6644pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:5136pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:0017pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 50 GP tracked · 14h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
18.0 min92pctl
Support received?
19.4 min3pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1261 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$5.00M

cap hit

$6.30M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.3M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Ivan Barbashev76$5.00MB+$1.3Mthis player
Igor Chernyshov74$0.93MA++$4.7M85%
Gabe Perreault72$0.94MA++$4.1M83%
Aliaksei Protas77$3.38MA+$3.2M80%
Marcus Johansson71--80%

Recent form · last 10 games

11 pts · 3 G · 8 A · 16 shots in last 10Cooling off(-1.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs EDM

2P

1G 1A

vs WSH

0P

0G 0A

vs VAN

1P

0G 1A

vs CGY

3P

1G 2A

@ EDM

2P

0G 2A

@ VAN

0P

0G 0A

@ SEA

0P

0G 0A

@ COL

1P

0G 1A

vs WPG

2P

1G 1A

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)243 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 9 of 23 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 13 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 43 blocks · 8 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2016-17St. Louis Blues3057125
2017-18St. Louis Blues537613-1
2018-19St. Louis Blues80141226-4
2019-20St. Louis Blues691115264
2020-21St. Louis Blues3857125
2021-22St. Louis Blues812634604
2022-23St. Louis Blues59101929-10
2022-23Vegas Golden Knights236101611
2023-24Vegas Golden Knights8219264515
2024-25Vegas Golden Knights7023285126
2025-26Vegas Golden Knights8223386120
Career2 teams66714920235175