Regular season

Aliaksei Protas

Washington Capitals · LW · #21

Top-six playerMiddle-Six Engine?Reliable minutes: 52 points and honest two-way play

HT: 6'6"
WT: 250 lb
Age: 25
Shoots: L
From: Vitebsk, BLR
Draft: 2019 WSH · R3 #91

77Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

7878pctl

6262pctl

7171pctl

3232pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.6875pctl

0.3383pctl

0.3670pctl

2.175pctl

+2095pctl

135pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

9.3%85pctl

2.5575pctl

0.1563pctl

Def Suppression?

0.2425pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

6.955pctl

1.414pctl

0.3051pctl

1.8155pctl

0:2929pctl

1:5693pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 48 GP tracked · 14h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

51.5%64pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

56.7%80pctl

O-zone deployment?

49%45pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

18.0 min93pctl

Support received?

18.5 min16pctl

D-zone deployment?

51%55pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1897pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.6988pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.5790pctl

1.17×99pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.29/gm25pctl

Pressure escape rate?

9.1%76pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1203 EV min

General Offense

6.2863

8.9869

Shot Setups/60?

1.1063

Chance Setups/60?

0.9569

Primary Contributions/60?

7.3864

Rebounds Created/60?

0.6573

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0548

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.7065

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.3049

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0036

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.2070

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.5056

Rush Offense/60?

9.1371

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.9072

1.2583

0.3583

Deflections/60?

1.9075

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.2068

Entries Finished/60?

0.8058

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.4042

Entry → Chance %?

50%23

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.3564

0.1022

1.2578

Retrieval Success %?

7%14

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0033

Exit Success %?

0%30

Forechecking

1.6525

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$3.38M

cap hit

$6.62M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$3.2M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Aliaksei Protas	77	Middle-Six Engine	52 P · 76 GP	$3.38M	$6.62M	A+$3.2M	this player
Ivan Barbashev	76	Middle-Six Engine	61 P · 82 GP	$5.00M	$6.30M	B+$1.3M	80%
Alex Laferriere	75	Middle-Six Engine	44 P · 82 GP	$4.10M	$5.99M	B+$1.9M	76%
Gabe Perreault	72	Middle-Six Engine	27 P · 49 GP	$0.94M	$5.08M	A++$4.1M	76%
Kiefer Sherwood	72	Wrecking Ball	36 P · 72 GP	$1.50M	$5.08M	A+$3.6M	74%

Chemistry

Top connection: Tom Wilson · 15 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Aliaksei’s goals

Creates for

goals Aliaksei assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

5 pts · 2 G · 3 A · 18 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs COL 03-22

0G 0A · 3 shots · 20:37 TOI

@ STL

0P

0G 0A

@ STL 03-24

0G 0A · 0 shots · 21:36 TOI

@ UTA

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA 03-26

0G 0A · 2 shots · 20:03 TOI

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ VGK 03-28

0G 0A · 1 shots · 6:27 TOI

vs BUF

2P

1G 1A

vs BUF 04-04

1G 1A · 4 shots · 16:15 TOI

@ NYR

0P

0G 0A

@ NYR 04-05

0G 0A · 2 shots · 17:05 TOI

@ TOR

1P

0G 1A

@ TOR 04-08

0G 1A · 1 shots · 17:38 TOI

@ PIT

2P

1G 1A

@ PIT 04-11

1G 1A · 2 shots · 16:24 TOI

vs PIT

0P

0G 0A

vs PIT 04-12

0G 0A · 1 shots · 19:18 TOI

@ CBJ

0P

0G 0A

@ CBJ 04-14

0G 0A · 2 shots · 16:30 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)326 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 8 of 25 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 24 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 53 blocks · 8 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2021-22	Washington Capitals	33	3	6	9	4
2022-23	Washington Capitals	58	4	11	15	-8
2023-24	Washington Capitals	78	6	23	29	-3
2024-25	Washington Capitals	76	30	36	66	40
2025-26	Washington Capitals	76	25	27	52	20
Career	1 team	321	68	103	171	53