HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Noah Hanifin

Vegas Golden Knights · D · #15
Second-pair DSteady Blueliner?116 blocks across 71 games of regular duty
HT
6'3"
WT
206 lb
Age
29
Shoots
L
From
Boston, USA
Draft
2015 CAR · R1 #5
76Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
5454pctl
Playmaking?
6565pctl
Transition?
7171pctl
Defense?
6666pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.3973pctl
Goals / GP?
0.0438pctl
Assists / GP?
0.3581pctl
Shots / GP?
1.986pctl
Plus/Minus?
047pctl
PP Points?
781pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
2.7%28pctl
ZEIS?
1.9660pctl
PSPL?
0.1147pctl
Def Suppression?
0.7581pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Blocks / GP?
1.6376pctl
Blocks / 60?
4.3357pctl
Hits / 60?
1.322pctl
Take : Give?
0.3783pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:4866pctl
PK TOI / GP?
1:3756pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 48 GP tracked · 18h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.4 min48pctl
Support received?
17.1 min55pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1433 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$7.35M

cap hit

$6.75M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal ($0.6M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Noah Hanifin76$7.35MC$0.6Mthis player
Devon Toews75$7.25MD$0.8M85%
Darnell Nurse77$9.25MD$2.2M84%
Hampus Lindholm77$6.50MC+$0.6M84%
Gustav Forsling74$5.75MC+$0.3M84%

Chemistry

Top connection: Ivan Barbashev · 4 goals together

Recent form · last 10 games

5 pts · 0 G · 5 A · 22 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs EDM

0P

0G 0A

vs WSH

0P

0G 0A

vs VAN

1P

0G 1A

vs CGY

0P

0G 0A

@ EDM

1P

0G 1A

@ VAN

0P

0G 0A

@ SEA

1P

0G 1A

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG

2P

0G 2A

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)457 events shown

The office: the left point - 2 of 3 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 31 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 113 blocks · 25 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2015-16Carolina Hurricanes7941822-14
2016-17Carolina Hurricanes8142529-19
2017-18Carolina Hurricanes79102232-20
2018-19Calgary Flames805283318
2019-20Calgary Flames7051722-12
2020-21Calgary Flames4741115-2
2021-22Calgary Flames8110384827
2022-23Calgary Flames81731382
2023-24Calgary Flames6111243513
2023-24Vegas Golden Knights19210126
2024-25Vegas Golden Knights801029398
2025-26Vegas Golden Knights71325280
Career3 teams829752783537