Regular season

Alex Bump

Philadelphia Flyers · LW · #20

Middle-six playerDepth Forward?9 points in 17 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'0"
WT: 195 lb
Age: 22
Shoots: L
From: Burnsville, USA
Draft: 2022 PHI · R5 #133

70Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

6363pctl

4747pctl

5050pctl

3232pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.5363pctl

0.2978pctl

0.2451pctl

1.443pctl

+370pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

7.3%75pctl

1.7149pctl

0.1042pctl

Def Suppression?

0.1819pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

6.443pctl

4.553pctl

0.2532pctl

1.9559pctl

0:5737pctl

0:0137pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 17 GP tracked · 4h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

47.7%33pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

58.3%85pctl

O-zone deployment?

59%86pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.4 min52pctl

Support received?

18.7 min11pctl

D-zone deployment?

41%14pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0640pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.5837pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.2947pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.29/gm24pctl

Pressure escape rate?

7.7%47pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 198 EV min

General Offense

6.0555

8.1654

Shot Setups/60?

0.3028

Chance Setups/60?

0.3030

Primary Contributions/60?

6.3548

Rebounds Created/60?

0.3038

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0037

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.3034

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.0028

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0042

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0032

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.2144

Rush Offense/60?

11.1970

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.0027

0.0027

0.0031

Deflections/60?

1.5155

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.3068

Entries Finished/60?

0.6044

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.0028

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

2.4273

0.6069

1.8172

Exit Involvements/60?

0.3073

Forechecking

2.7245

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0045

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.95M

cap hit

$4.50M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$3.5M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Alex Bump	70	Depth Forward	9 P · 17 GP	$0.95M	$4.50M	A+$3.5M	this player
Matthew Wood	66	Depth Forward	30 P · 71 GP	$0.95M	$3.42M	A+$2.5M	86%
Michael Carcone	68	Depth Forward	31 P · 79 GP	$0.78M	$3.94M	A+$3.2M	83%
Jamie Benn	71	Middle-Six Engine	36 P · 60 GP	$1.00M	$4.78M	A+$3.8M	82%
Michael Bunting	67	Depth Forward	33 P · 74 GP	-	$3.68M	-	82%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Alex’s goals

Creates for

goals Alex assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

5 pts · 3 G · 2 A · 13 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

@ SJS 03-21

0G 0A · 2 shots · 13:29 TOI

vs CBJ

0P

0G 0A

vs CBJ 03-24

0G 0A · 1 shots · 10:59 TOI

vs CHI

2P

1G 1A

vs CHI 03-26

1G 1A · 4 shots · 10:41 TOI

@ DET

0P

0G 0A

@ DET 03-28

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:08 TOI

vs DAL

0P

0G 0A

vs DAL 03-29

0G 0A · 0 shots · 9:46 TOI

@ NYI

2P

1G 1A

@ NYI 04-03

1G 1A · 1 shots · 9:09 TOI

vs BOS

0P

0G 0A

vs BOS 04-05

0G 0A · 2 shots · 11:42 TOI

@ NJD

0P

0G 0A

@ NJD 04-07

0G 0A · 1 shots · 11:31 TOI

@ DET

0P

0G 0A

@ DET 04-09

0G 0A · 1 shots · 11:27 TOI

vs MTL

1P

1G 0A

vs MTL 04-14

1G 0A · 1 shots · 16:53 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)54 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 4 of 5 goals live there

Defensive floor: 9 blocks · 2 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2025-26	Philadelphia Flyers	17	5	4	9	3
Career	1 team	17	5	4	9	3