Regular season

Gabriel Vilardi

Winnipeg Jets · C · #13

Top-six playerMiddle-Six Engine?Reliable minutes: 69 points and honest two-way play

HT: 6'3"
WT: 216 lb
Age: 26
Shoots: R
From: Kingston, CAN
Draft: 2017 LAK · R1 #11

81Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

7878pctl

7070pctl

7272pctl

3939pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.8486pctl

0.3787pctl

0.4884pctl

1.867pctl

-1217pctl

2492pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

10.1%89pctl

2.7078pctl

0.1667pctl

Def Suppression?

0.3743pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

42.0%13pctl

1.215pctl

0.2216pctl

3:0582pctl

0:0219pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 51 GP tracked · 16h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

52.5%72pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

45.9%33pctl

O-zone deployment?

62%91pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.9 min88pctl

Support received?

19.7 min2pctl

D-zone deployment?

38%9pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1488pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

2.4598pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.7397pctl

0.97×40pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.26/gm35pctl

Pressure escape rate?

7.7%46pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1282 EV min

General Offense

4.7326

8.0053

Shot Setups/60?

0.5621

Chance Setups/60?

0.4723

Primary Contributions/60?

5.2922

Rebounds Created/60?

0.4245

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0967

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.4737

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.0915

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0564

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0527

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.1234

Rush Offense/60?

5.8521

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.7558

0.8456

0.0932

Deflections/60?

1.5963

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0943

Entries Finished/60?

0.3315

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.2826

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.5614

0.0515

0.5121

Retrieval Success %?

8%15

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0559

Exit Success %?

8%79

Forechecking

0.8911

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0576

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$7.50M

cap hit

$7.95M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.5M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Gabriel Vilardi	81	Middle-Six Engine	69 P · 82 GP	$7.50M	$7.95M	C+$0.5M	this player
Morgan Geekie	81	Middle-Six Engine	68 P · 81 GP	$5.50M	$7.95M	A+$2.5M	90%
Anton Lundell	78	Middle-Six Engine	44 P · 64 GP	$5.00M	$6.95M	B+$1.9M	89%
Carter Verhaeghe	80	Middle-Six Engine	55 P · 77 GP	$7.00M	$7.61M	C+$0.6M	88%
Dylan Cozens	81	Middle-Six Engine	59 P · 82 GP	$7.10M	$7.95M	B+$0.9M	87%

Chemistry

Top connection: Kyle Connor · 27 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Gabriel’s goals

Creates for

goals Gabriel assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

9 pts · 3 G · 6 A · 16 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ COL

2P

1G 1A

@ COL 03-28

1G 1A · 4 shots · 20:05 TOI

@ CHI

0P

0G 0A

@ CHI 03-31

0G 0A · 0 shots · 19:27 TOI

@ DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ DAL 04-02

0G 0A · 1 shots · 23:03 TOI

@ CBJ

0P

0G 0A

@ CBJ 04-04

0G 0A · 3 shots · 17:30 TOI

vs SEA

2P

1G 1A

vs SEA 04-06

1G 1A · 3 shots · 16:44 TOI

@ STL

1P

0G 1A

@ STL 04-09

0G 1A · 1 shots · 16:31 TOI

vs PHI

0P

0G 0A

vs PHI 04-11

0G 0A · 1 shots · 17:27 TOI

@ VGK

2P

1G 1A

@ VGK 04-13

1G 1A · 2 shots · 17:52 TOI

@ UTA

2P

0G 2A

@ UTA 04-14

0G 2A · 1 shots · 17:43 TOI

vs SJS

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS 04-16

0G 0A · 0 shots · 17:24 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)337 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 16 of 30 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 26 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 47 blocks · 1 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2019-20	Los Angeles Kings	10	3	4	7	0
2020-21	Los Angeles Kings	54	10	13	23	-8
2021-22	Los Angeles Kings	25	5	2	7	-5
2022-23	Los Angeles Kings	63	23	18	41	10
2023-24	Winnipeg Jets	47	22	14	36	11
2024-25	Winnipeg Jets	71	27	34	61	9
2025-26	Winnipeg Jets	82	30	39	69	-12
Career	2 teams	352	120	124	244	5