Regular season

Alex Iafallo

Winnipeg Jets · LW · #9

Middle-six playerDepth Forward?29 points in 79 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'0"
WT: 201 lb
Age: 32
Shoots: L
From: Eden, USA

66Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

5050pctl

5151pctl

4343pctl

8282pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.3741pctl

0.1644pctl

0.2040pctl

1.449pctl

+370pctl

555pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

7.1%74pctl

1.7048pctl

0.1667pctl

Def Suppression?

0.8386pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

5.625pctl

5.863pctl

0.3973pctl

2.7283pctl

1:1343pctl

1:0779pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 49 GP tracked · 13h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

52.1%69pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

52.9%65pctl

O-zone deployment?

61%90pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.7 min75pctl

Support received?

19.3 min4pctl

D-zone deployment?

39%10pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1175pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.4381pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.4981pctl

1.00×53pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.26/gm35pctl

Pressure escape rate?

7.4%39pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1047 EV min

General Offense

5.0435

7.1038

Shot Setups/60?

0.7434

Chance Setups/60?

0.6943

Primary Contributions/60?

5.7934

Rebounds Created/60?

0.4649

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0654

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.4637

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.0613

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0036

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0633

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.3245

Rush Offense/60?

5.9022

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.5736

1.0370

0.1756

Deflections/60?

1.8974

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0018

Entries Finished/60?

0.3417

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.2319

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.5716

0.1125

0.4617

Retrieval Success %?

20%35

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0666

Exit Success %?

10%83

Forechecking

4.9865

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$3.67M

cap hit

$3.42M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (−$0.2M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Alex Iafallo	66	Depth Forward	29 P · 79 GP	$3.67M	$3.42M	C−$0.2M	this player
Simon Holmstrom	70	Depth Forward	41 P · 79 GP	$3.63M	$4.50M	B+$0.9M	89%
Anthony Duclair	65	Depth Forward	27 P · 62 GP	$3.50M	$3.17M	C−$0.3M	84%
Conor Sheary	62	Depth Forward	18 P · 62 GP	$0.78M	$2.46M	B+$1.7M	84%
Zach Benson	73	Middle-Six Engine	43 P · 65 GP	$0.95M	$5.37M	A++$4.4M	83%

Chemistry

Top connection: Mark Scheifele · 8 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Alex’s goals

Creates for

goals Alex assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

4 pts · 2 G · 2 A · 20 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ NYR

0P

0G 0A

@ NYR 03-22

0G 0A · 3 shots · 18:22 TOI

vs VGK

1P

1G 0A

vs VGK 03-24

1G 0A · 2 shots · 14:28 TOI

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs COL 03-26

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:04 TOI

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

@ COL 03-28

0G 0A · 1 shots · 18:25 TOI

@ CHI

1P

0G 1A

@ CHI 03-31

0G 1A · 0 shots · 16:18 TOI

@ DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ DAL 04-02

0G 0A · 1 shots · 15:58 TOI

@ CBJ

0P

0G 0A

@ CBJ 04-04

0G 0A · 3 shots · 19:45 TOI

vs SEA

1P

0G 1A

vs SEA 04-06

0G 1A · 4 shots · 20:45 TOI

@ STL

1P

1G 0A

@ STL 04-09

1G 0A · 3 shots · 19:28 TOI

vs PHI

0P

0G 0A

vs PHI 04-11

0G 0A · 3 shots · 15:03 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)203 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 5 of 13 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 14 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 73 blocks · 4 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2017-18	Los Angeles Kings	75	9	16	25	10
2018-19	Los Angeles Kings	82	15	18	33	-17
2019-20	Los Angeles Kings	70	17	26	43	1
2020-21	Los Angeles Kings	55	13	17	30	-8
2021-22	Los Angeles Kings	79	17	20	37	4
2022-23	Los Angeles Kings	59	14	22	36	14
2023-24	Winnipeg Jets	82	11	16	27	14
2024-25	Winnipeg Jets	82	15	16	31	21
2025-26	Winnipeg Jets	79	13	16	29	3
Career	2 teams	663	124	167	291	42