HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Adam Lowry

Winnipeg Jets · C · #17
Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 150 hits (8.6/60)
HT
6'5"
WT
210 lb
Age
33
Shoots
L
From
St. Louis, USA
Draft
2011 WPG · R3 #67
60Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
3030pctl
Playmaking?
3838pctl
Transition?
3434pctl
Defense?
7979pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.3033pctl
Goals / GP?
0.0715pctl
Assists / GP?
0.2348pctl
Shots / GP?
1.022pctl
Plus/Minus?
-634pctl
PP Points?
016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
5.6%62pctl
ZEIS?
1.3937pctl
PSPL?
0.0728pctl
Def Suppression?
0.6775pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Faceoff %?
54.9%83pctl
D-Zone FO %?
49.5%50pctl
Draws / GP
13.682pctl
Take : Give?
0.5085pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:0524pctl
PK TOI / GP?
1:4677pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 45 GP tracked · 11h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.9 min85pctl
Support received?
17.9 min31pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 918 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$3.25M

cap hit

$2.03M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium ($1.2M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Adam Lowry60$3.25MD$1.2Mthis player
Jack Drury61$1.73MC+$0.5M91%
Blake Lizotte60$1.85MC+$0.2M90%
Nic Dowd57$3.00MD$1.5M89%
Jason Dickinson59$4.25MD$2.4M88%

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 0 G · 2 A · 8 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ COL

1P

0G 1A

@ CHI

0P

0G 0A

@ DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ CBJ

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA

1P

0G 1A

@ STL

0P

0G 0A

vs PHI

0P

0G 0A

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)449 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 3 of 5 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 14 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 59 blocks · 7 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2014-15Winnipeg Jets801112231
2015-16Winnipeg Jets7471017-9
2016-17Winnipeg Jets821514291
2017-18Winnipeg Jets45813219
2018-19Winnipeg Jets781211236
2019-20Winnipeg Jets494610-4
2020-21Winnipeg Jets521014246
2021-22Winnipeg Jets79138211
2022-23Winnipeg Jets821323364
2023-24Winnipeg Jets8112233517
2024-25Winnipeg Jets7316183418
2025-26Winnipeg Jets7051621-6
Career1 team84512616829444