Regular season

Timothy Liljegren

Washington Capitals · D · #27

Third-pair DSteady Blueliner?90 blocks across 47 games of regular duty

HT: 6'1"
WT: 200 lb
Age: 27
Shoots: R
From: Kristianstad, SWE
Draft: 2017 TOR · R1 #17

69Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

3535pctl

6363pctl

4141pctl

6363pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.2342pctl

0.0217pctl

0.2151pctl

0.929pctl

-726pctl

267pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

2%19pctl

0.8616pctl

0.1873pctl

Def Suppression?

1.0594pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

1.9190pctl

5.7889pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

8.190pctl

2.449pctl

0.1818pctl

0:4866pctl

2:0971pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 26 GP tracked · 8h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

42.1%7pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

43.3%24pctl

O-zone deployment?

37%12pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.6 min64pctl

Support received?

17.1 min54pctl

D-zone deployment?

63%88pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.004pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.2720pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.041pctl

0.90×11pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.28/gm29pctl

Pressure escape rate?

5.5%8pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 794 EV min

General Offense

2.8027

2.7235

Shot Setups/60?

0.7645

Chance Setups/60?

0.6852

Primary Contributions/60?

3.5529

Rebounds Created/60?

0.4568

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0032

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.3035

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.0831

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0035

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0842

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.0619

Rush Offense/60?

5.5248

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.0013

0.0015

0.0027

Deflections/60?

0.0854

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0874

Entries Finished/60?

0.2338

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.2379

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

2.8758

0.5363

2.3457

Retrieval Success %?

18%54

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0877

Exit Success %?

3%78

Forechecking

0.2328

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0048

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$3.00M

cap hit

$4.49M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.5M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Timothy Liljegren	69	Steady Blueliner	11 P · 47 GP	$3.00M	$4.49M	B+$1.5M	this player
Matt Roy	69	Steady Blueliner	19 P · 79 GP	$5.75M	$4.49M	D−$1.3M	89%
Alex Vlasic	67	Depth Defenseman	21 P · 81 GP	$4.60M	$3.91M	C−$0.7M	84%
Artem Zub	73	Steady Blueliner	30 P · 81 GP	$4.60M	$5.74M	B+$1.1M	81%
Ryan Shea	71	Steady Blueliner	35 P · 80 GP	$0.90M	$5.10M	A++$4.2M	81%

Chemistry

Top connection: Alexander Wennberg · 3 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Timothy’s goals

Creates for

goals Timothy assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 1 G · 1 A · 17 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs NYR

0P

0G 0A

vs NYR 01-23

0G 0A · 3 shots · 19:41 TOI

@ VAN

0P

0G 0A

@ VAN 01-27

0G 0A · 3 shots · 17:21 TOI

@ EDM

1P

0G 1A

@ EDM 01-29

0G 1A · 1 shots · 24:56 TOI

@ CHI

0P

0G 0A

@ CHI 02-02

0G 0A · 2 shots · 19:53 TOI

@ COL

1P

1G 0A

@ COL 02-04

1G 0A · 2 shots · 20:08 TOI

vs CGY

0P

0G 0A

vs CGY 02-26

0G 0A · 1 shots · 15:08 TOI

@ PHI

0P

0G 0A

@ PHI 03-11

0G 0A · 1 shots · 14:48 TOI

@ BUF

0P

0G 0A

@ BUF 03-12

0G 0A · 1 shots · 15:50 TOI

vs BOS

0P

0G 0A

vs BOS 03-14

0G 0A · 1 shots · 15:45 TOI

vs PIT

0P

0G 0A

vs PIT 04-12

0G 0A · 2 shots · 21:16 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)213 events shown

Playmaking gravity: 9 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 90 blocks · 8 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2019-20	Toronto Maple Leafs	11	0	1	1	-5
2020-21	Toronto Maple Leafs	2	0	0	0	1
2021-22	Toronto Maple Leafs	61	5	18	23	15
2022-23	Toronto Maple Leafs	67	6	12	18	24
2023-24	Toronto Maple Leafs	55	3	20	23	3
2024-25	Toronto Maple Leafs	1	0	0	0	0
2024-25	San Jose Sharks	67	6	11	17	-25
2025-26	San Jose Sharks	43	1	10	11	-7
2025-26	Washington Capitals	4	0	0	0	0
Career	3 teams	311	21	72	93	6