Regular season

Will Smith

San Jose Sharks · C · #2

Top-six playerMiddle-Six Engine?Reliable minutes: 59 points and honest two-way play

HT: 6'0"
WT: 180 lb
Age: 21
Shoots: R
From: Boston, USA
Draft: 2023 SJS · R1 #4

79Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

7575pctl

5656pctl

8080pctl

1111pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.8686pctl

0.3585pctl

0.5189pctl

2.485pctl

+163pctl

1783pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

10%88pctl

3.2888pctl

0.0728pctl

Def Suppression?

-0.124pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

0.712pctl

0.179pctl

3:1890pctl

0:0426pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 44 GP tracked · 13h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

49.1%44pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

53.6%68pctl

O-zone deployment?

62%91pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.9 min84pctl

Support received?

18.9 min9pctl

D-zone deployment?

38%9pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1694pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.0061pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.4982pctl

0.96×32pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.19/gm64pctl

Pressure escape rate?

9.1%76pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1022 EV min

General Offense

6.5266

9.7476

Shot Setups/60?

0.5319

Chance Setups/60?

0.2914

Primary Contributions/60?

7.0459

Rebounds Created/60?

0.2321

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0655

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.2316

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.1825

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0671

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0634

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.3547

Rush Offense/60?

8.1657

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.7052

0.7040

0.0627

Deflections/60?

0.6515

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0631

Entries Finished/60?

1.0676

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.7079

Entry → Chance %?

67%60

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.2357

0.2343

1.0063

Retrieval Success %?

19%33

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0034

Exit Success %?

0%31

Forechecking

1.0616

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.95M

cap hit

$7.28M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A+

Massive surplus value (+$6.3M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Will Smith	79	Middle-Six Engine	59 P · 69 GP	$0.95M	$7.28M	A++$6.3M	this player
Matt Duchene	76	Middle-Six Engine	45 P · 57 GP	$8.00M	$6.30M	D−$1.7M	80%
Trevor Zegras	81	Middle-Six Engine	67 P · 81 GP	$5.75M	$7.95M	A+$2.2M	78%
Anton Lundell	78	Middle-Six Engine	44 P · 64 GP	$5.00M	$6.95M	B+$1.9M	76%
Morgan Geekie	81	Middle-Six Engine	68 P · 81 GP	$5.50M	$7.95M	A+$2.5M	76%

Chemistry

Top connection: Macklin Celebrini · 35 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Will’s goals

Creates for

goals Will assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

8 pts · 3 G · 5 A · 20 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs ANA

3P

1G 2A

vs ANA 04-01

1G 2A · 2 shots · 18:31 TOI

vs TOR

0P

0G 0A

vs TOR 04-02

0G 0A · 1 shots · 16:43 TOI

vs NSH

0P

0G 0A

vs NSH 04-04

0G 0A · 3 shots · 18:52 TOI

vs CHI

1P

1G 0A

vs CHI 04-06

1G 0A · 2 shots · 17:47 TOI

vs EDM

1P

0G 1A

vs EDM 04-08

0G 1A · 1 shots · 18:40 TOI

@ ANA

0P

0G 0A

@ ANA 04-09

0G 0A · 0 shots · 16:58 TOI

vs VAN

0P

0G 0A

vs VAN 04-11

0G 0A · 4 shots · 22:26 TOI

@ NSH

1P

0G 1A

@ NSH 04-13

0G 1A · 2 shots · 16:28 TOI

@ CHI

0P

0G 0A

@ CHI 04-15

0G 0A · 0 shots · 16:59 TOI

@ WPG

2P

1G 1A

@ WPG 04-16

1G 1A · 5 shots · 13:38 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)336 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 8 of 24 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 16 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 14 blocks · 4 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2024-25	San Jose Sharks	74	18	27	45	-15
2025-26	San Jose Sharks	69	24	35	59	1
Career	1 team	143	42	62	104	-14