Regular season

Pavol Regenda

- · LW · #84

Middle-six playerDepth Forward?10 points in 24 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'3"
WT: 215 lb
Age: 26
Shoots: L
From: Michalovce, SVK

67Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

6969pctl

2929pctl

5151pctl

5757pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.4249pctl

0.3888pctl

0.043pctl

1.864pctl

-442pctl

450pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

8.4%82pctl

1.9057pctl

0.0937pctl

Def Suppression?

0.6070pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

7.975pctl

11.084pctl

0.2326pctl

1.1216pctl

1:2849pctl

0:0954pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 11 GP tracked · 3h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

51.2%61pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

43.8%25pctl

O-zone deployment?

31%5pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.3 min41pctl

Support received?

17.3 min49pctl

D-zone deployment?

69%95pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1897pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

2.0394pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.5991pctl

0.75×0pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.09/gm95pctl

Pressure escape rate?

6.8%26pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 282 EV min

General Offense

6.6162

8.3155

Shot Setups/60?

0.4326

Chance Setups/60?

0.4331

Primary Contributions/60?

7.0356

Rebounds Created/60?

0.2129

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0035

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.2127

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2138

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0041

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0029

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

0.8531

Rush Offense/60?

7.4647

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.6447

1.4975

0.4374

Deflections/60?

1.7162

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0029

Entries Finished/60?

0.6445

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.4347

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.6428

0.4364

0.2124

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0039

Forechecking

6.8266

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0045

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Pavol Regenda	67	Depth Forward	10 P · 24 GP	-	$3.68M	-	this player
Adam Gaudette	67	Depth Forward	25 P · 66 GP	$2.00M	$3.68M	B+$1.7M	81%
Emil Heineman	68	Depth Forward	31 P · 82 GP	$1.10M	$3.94M	A+$2.8M	81%
James van Riemsdyk	68	Depth Forward	31 P · 72 GP	-	$3.94M	-	80%
Nicholas Robertson	65	Depth Forward	32 P · 78 GP	$1.82M	$3.17M	B+$1.3M	80%

Chemistry

Top connection: Collin Graf · 3 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Pavol’s goals

Creates for

goals Pavol assisted on

Collin Graf11 as primary

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

1 pts · 1 G · 0 A · 10 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ EDM

0P

0G 0A

@ EDM 01-29

0G 0A · 1 shots · 13:52 TOI

@ CHI

0P

0G 0A

@ CHI 02-02

0G 0A · 1 shots · 11:23 TOI

vs EDM

0P

0G 0A

vs EDM 02-28

0G 0A · 1 shots · 10:48 TOI

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG 03-01

0G 0A · 0 shots · 7:46 TOI

@ OTT

0P

0G 0A

@ OTT 03-15

0G 0A · 1 shots · 14:22 TOI

@ EDM

1P

1G 0A

@ EDM 03-17

1G 0A · 4 shots · 14:26 TOI

vs BUF

0P

0G 0A

vs BUF 03-19

0G 0A · 0 shots · 14:16 TOI

@ NSH

0P

0G 0A

@ NSH 03-24

0G 0A · 2 shots · 13:44 TOI

@ ANA

0P

0G 0A

@ ANA 04-09

0G 0A · 0 shots · 11:32 TOI

@ WPG

0P

0G 0A

@ WPG 04-16

0G 0A · 0 shots · 9:00 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)66 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 5 of 9 goals live there

Defensive floor: 13 blocks · 2 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2022-23	Anaheim Ducks	14	1	2	3	-3
2023-24	Anaheim Ducks	5	0	0	0	-1
2025-26	San Jose Sharks	24	9	1	10	-4
Career	2 teams	43	10	3	13	-8