Regular season

Dylan Samberg

Winnipeg Jets · D · #54

Third-pair DSteady Blueliner?115 blocks across 66 games of regular duty

HT: 6'4"
WT: 216 lb
Age: 27
Shoots: L
From: Saginaw, USA
Draft: 2017 WPG · R2 #43

71Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

3434pctl

3838pctl

5959pctl

7676pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.2135pctl

0.0214pctl

0.2046pctl

1.366pctl

+566pctl

027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

2%19pctl

1.7450pctl

0.0624pctl

Def Suppression?

1.0894pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

1.7484pctl

4.7967pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

6.569pctl

2.243pctl

0.4188pctl

0:0747pctl

2:3283pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 44 GP tracked · 16h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

52.5%73pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

55.3%75pctl

O-zone deployment?

48%40pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.8 min81pctl

Support received?

16.7 min68pctl

D-zone deployment?

52%60pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0531pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.1910pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.1824pctl

1.05×84pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.34/gm14pctl

Pressure escape rate?

6.4%17pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1266 EV min

General Offense

3.5652

2.3721

Shot Setups/60?

0.7646

Chance Setups/60?

0.7664

Primary Contributions/60?

4.3151

Rebounds Created/60?

0.2842

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0031

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.3850

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.0936

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0034

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0018

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

2.3784

Rush Offense/60?

5.0736

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.2851

0.0920

0.0968

Deflections/60?

0.0960

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0566

Entries Finished/60?

0.1422

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.0947

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

2.3737

0.5263

1.8531

Retrieval Success %?

22%69

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0984

Exit Success %?

4%85

Forechecking

0.3342

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0048

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$5.75M

cap hit

$5.10M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (−$0.6M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Dylan Samberg	71	Steady Blueliner	14 P · 66 GP	$5.75M	$5.10M	C−$0.6M	this player
Jaccob Slavin	72	Steady Blueliner	8 P · 39 GP	$6.40M	$5.42M	D−$1.0M	86%
Jonas Brodin	74	Steady Blueliner	18 P · 62 GP	$6.00M	$6.07M	C+$0.1M	86%
Ben Chiarot	73	Steady Blueliner	15 P · 82 GP	$4.75M	$5.74M	B+$1.0M	82%
Braden Schneider	67	Depth Defenseman	18 P · 82 GP	$2.20M	$3.91M	B+$1.7M	82%

Chemistry

Top connection: Kyle Connor · 4 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Dylan’s goals

Creates for

goals Dylan assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

1 pts · 0 G · 1 A · 17 shots in last 10Steady(-0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ COL

1P

0G 1A

@ COL 03-28

0G 1A · 0 shots · 24:19 TOI

@ CHI

0P

0G 0A

@ CHI 03-31

0G 0A · 3 shots · 23:06 TOI

@ DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ DAL 04-02

0G 0A · 4 shots · 22:07 TOI

@ CBJ

0P

0G 0A

@ CBJ 04-04

0G 0A · 1 shots · 25:08 TOI

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA 04-06

0G 0A · 1 shots · 22:42 TOI

@ STL

0P

0G 0A

@ STL 04-09

0G 0A · 0 shots · 26:52 TOI

vs PHI

0P

0G 0A

vs PHI 04-11

0G 0A · 2 shots · 20:22 TOI

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ VGK 04-13

0G 0A · 2 shots · 18:47 TOI

@ UTA

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA 04-14

0G 0A · 0 shots · 23:18 TOI

vs SJS

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS 04-16

0G 0A · 4 shots · 19:17 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)350 events shown

Playmaking gravity: 16 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 115 blocks · 15 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2021-22	Winnipeg Jets	15	0	5	5	3
2022-23	Winnipeg Jets	63	2	6	8	10
2023-24	Winnipeg Jets	78	1	17	18	16
2024-25	Winnipeg Jets	60	6	14	20	34
2025-26	Winnipeg Jets	66	1	13	14	5
Career	1 team	282	10	55	65	68