HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Nino Niederreiter

Winnipeg Jets · RW · #62
Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?19 points in 61 games in a supporting role
HT
6'2"
WT
218 lb
Age
33
Shoots
L
From
Chur, CHE
Draft
2010 NYI · R1 #5
61Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
4040pctl
Playmaking?
4545pctl
Transition?
3636pctl
Defense?
1919pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.3134pctl
Goals / GP?
0.1332pctl
Assists / GP?
0.1835pctl
Shots / GP?
1.444pctl
Plus/Minus?
-730pctl
PP Points?
555pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
6.2%66pctl
ZEIS?
1.3635pctl
PSPL?
0.1459pctl
Def Suppression?
0.1113pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP
Shots / 60?
6.036pctl
Hits / 60?
5.058pctl
Take : Give?
0.2223pctl
Blocks / 60?
1.4232pctl
PP TOI / GP?
1:3351pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:0012pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 33 GP tracked · 7h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.0 min23pctl
Support received?
16.8 min65pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 745 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$4.00M

cap hit

$2.24M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium ($1.8M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Nino Niederreiter61$4.00MD$1.8Mthis player
Dalibor Dvorsky61$0.89MB+$1.4M93%
Maxim Shabanov62$0.97MB+$1.5M92%
Jonatan Berggren62$1.82MC+$0.6M90%
Easton Cowan65$0.87MA+$2.3M88%

Recent form · last 10 games

0 pts · 0 G · 0 A · 14 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ TBL

0P

0G 0A

@ FLA

0P

0G 0A

@ DAL

0P

0G 0A

vs MTL

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

@ STL

0P

0G 0A

vs PHI

0P

0G 0A

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)150 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 4 of 8 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 9 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 26 blocks · 1 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2010-11New York Islanders9112-1
2011-12New York Islanders55101-29
2013-14Minnesota Wild8114223612
2014-15Minnesota Wild802413372
2015-16Minnesota Wild822023439
2016-17Minnesota Wild8225325717
2017-18Minnesota Wild6318143214
2018-19Minnesota Wild4691423-11
2018-19Carolina Hurricanes361416307
2019-20Carolina Hurricanes67111829-3
2020-21Carolina Hurricanes5620143420
2021-22Carolina Hurricanes7524204429
2022-23Nashville Predators56181028-9
2022-23Winnipeg Jets226713-4
2023-24Winnipeg Jets7718163412
2024-25Winnipeg Jets8217203716
2025-26Winnipeg Jets6181119-7
Career5 teams103024825149974