Regular season

Matthew Robertson

New York Rangers · D · #29

Third-pair DDepth Defenseman?80 blocks in 72 games of hard minutes

HT: 6'4"
WT: 210 lb
Age: 25
Shoots: L
From: Edmonton, CAN
Draft: 2019 NYR · R2 #49

67Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

5252pctl

4646pctl

6464pctl

3838pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.2547pctl

0.0867pctl

0.1732pctl

1.148pctl

-144pctl

027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

1.8%16pctl

2.0162pctl

0.1251pctl

Def Suppression?

0.5463pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

1.1131pctl

3.8341pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

4.931pctl

5.183pctl

0.1714pctl

0:0333pctl

1:3151pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 47 GP tracked · 14h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

52.0%67pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

54.4%72pctl

O-zone deployment?

45%29pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.1 min30pctl

Support received?

16.4 min82pctl

D-zone deployment?

55%71pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0110pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.2113pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.119pctl

1.07×91pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.30/gm23pctl

Pressure escape rate?

6.8%23pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1140 EV min

General Offense

4.0567

4.0074

Shot Setups/60?

1.0574

Chance Setups/60?

0.8974

Primary Contributions/60?

5.1171

Rebounds Created/60?

0.5376

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0571

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.4769

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2676

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0034

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.1153

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

2.5386

Rush Offense/60?

7.3280

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.2647

0.2655

0.0552

Deflections/60?

0.0547

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0570

Entries Finished/60?

0.2648

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.1667

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

2.0021

0.3229

1.6823

Retrieval Success %?

16%43

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0577

Exit Success %?

3%80

Forechecking

0.6876

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0048

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.81M

cap hit

$3.91M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$3.1M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Matthew Robertson	67	Depth Defenseman	18 P · 72 GP	$0.81M	$3.91M	A+$3.1M	this player
Joel Edmundson	64	Depth Defenseman	23 P · 82 GP	$3.85M	$3.09M	D−$0.8M	86%
Samuel Girard	63	Depth Defenseman	19 P · 60 GP	$5.00M	$2.83M	D−$2.2M	85%
Logan Mailloux	63	Depth Defenseman	13 P · 67 GP	$0.88M	$2.83M	B+$2.0M	84%
Nicolas Hague	67	Depth Defenseman	15 P · 62 GP	$5.50M	$3.91M	D−$1.6M	84%

Chemistry

Top connection: J.T. Miller · 3 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Matthew’s goals

Creates for

goals Matthew assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 2 G · 1 A · 8 shots in last 10Steady(-0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs CHI

1P

1G 0A

vs CHI 03-27

1G 0A · 3 shots · 15:53 TOI

vs FLA

0P

0G 0A

vs FLA 03-29

0G 0A · 0 shots · 16:22 TOI

vs NJD

0P

0G 0A

vs NJD 03-31

0G 0A · 1 shots · 18:32 TOI

vs MTL

0P

0G 0A

vs MTL 04-02

0G 0A · 0 shots · 17:34 TOI

vs DET

1P

0G 1A

vs DET 04-04

0G 1A · 0 shots · 18:18 TOI

vs WSH

0P

0G 0A

vs WSH 04-05

0G 0A · 2 shots · 17:50 TOI

vs BUF

0P

0G 0A

vs BUF 04-08

0G 0A · 1 shots · 15:52 TOI

@ DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ DAL 04-11

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:19 TOI

@ FLA

1P

1G 0A

@ FLA 04-13

1G 0A · 1 shots · 17:05 TOI

@ TBL

0P

0G 0A

@ TBL 04-15

0G 0A · 0 shots · 16:41 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)306 events shown

The office: the right point - 3 of 6 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 20 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 81 blocks · 6 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2024-25	New York Rangers	2	0	0	0	3
2025-26	New York Rangers	72	6	12	18	-1
Career	1 team	74	6	12	18	2