Regular season

Nicolas Hague

Nashville Predators · D · #41

Third-pair DDepth Defenseman?15 points and 54 blocks in 62 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'6"
WT: 245 lb
Age: 27
Shoots: L
From: Kitchener, CAN
Draft: 2017 VGK · R2 #34

67Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

4141pctl

5959pctl

5959pctl

4141pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.2445pctl

0.0543pctl

0.1943pctl

0.934pctl

-1018pctl

027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

1.6%13pctl

1.8755pctl

0.1770pctl

Def Suppression?

0.3439pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.8713pctl

2.666pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

3.76pctl

3.763pctl

0.3377pctl

0:0437pctl

2:0571pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 41 GP tracked · 13h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

48.1%36pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

44.0%26pctl

O-zone deployment?

44%27pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.4 min47pctl

Support received?

16.1 min88pctl

D-zone deployment?

56%73pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0534pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.4129pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.2334pctl

0.98×42pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.33/gm16pctl

Pressure escape rate?

6.8%25pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1084 EV min

General Offense

2.8828

3.3257

Shot Setups/60?

1.2282

Chance Setups/60?

1.1686

Primary Contributions/60?

4.1046

Rebounds Created/60?

0.5578

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0031

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.5579

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2267

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0034

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.2888

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.7759

Rush Offense/60?

5.2042

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.4475

0.4480

0.0653

Deflections/60?

0.0649

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0671

Entries Finished/60?

0.1118

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.0634

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

2.3234

0.6175

1.7225

Retrieval Success %?

26%83

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0037

Exit Success %?

0%37

Forechecking

0.5568

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0048

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$5.50M

cap hit

$3.91M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium (−$1.6M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Nicolas Hague	67	Depth Defenseman	15 P · 62 GP	$5.50M	$3.91M	D−$1.6M	this player
Nikita Zadorov	70	Heavy Hitter	22 P · 81 GP	$5.00M	$4.79M	C−$0.2M	89%
Jalen Chatfield	70	Steady Blueliner	17 P · 72 GP	$3.02M	$4.79M	B+$1.8M	87%
Joel Edmundson	64	Depth Defenseman	23 P · 82 GP	$3.85M	$3.09M	D−$0.8M	87%
Max Crozier	67	Depth Defenseman	10 P · 35 GP	$0.82M	$3.91M	A+$3.1M	85%

Chemistry

Top connection: Fedor Svechkov · 3 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Nicolas’s goals

Creates for

goals Nicolas assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

1 pts · 0 G · 1 A · 10 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ WPG

0P

0G 0A

@ WPG 03-17

0G 0A · 0 shots · 24:42 TOI

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA 03-19

0G 0A · 1 shots · 18:21 TOI

vs VGK

0P

0G 0A

vs VGK 03-21

0G 0A · 0 shots · 25:08 TOI

@ CHI

0P

0G 0A

@ CHI 03-22

0G 0A · 2 shots · 20:15 TOI

vs SJS

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS 03-24

0G 0A · 1 shots · 23:37 TOI

vs NJD

1P

0G 1A

vs NJD 03-26

0G 1A · 1 shots · 21:35 TOI

vs MTL

0P

0G 0A

vs MTL 03-28

0G 0A · 1 shots · 20:00 TOI

@ TBL

0P

0G 0A

@ TBL 03-29

0G 0A · 3 shots · 17:05 TOI

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK 04-02

0G 0A · 1 shots · 19:30 TOI

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

@ SJS 04-04

0G 0A · 0 shots · 2:34 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)235 events shown

The office: the right point - 3 of 3 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 20 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 54 blocks · 11 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2019-20	Vegas Golden Knights	38	1	10	11	0
2020-21	Vegas Golden Knights	52	5	12	17	14
2021-22	Vegas Golden Knights	52	4	10	14	6
2022-23	Vegas Golden Knights	81	3	14	17	7
2023-24	Vegas Golden Knights	73	2	10	12	-5
2024-25	Vegas Golden Knights	68	5	7	12	-2
2025-26	Nashville Predators	62	3	12	15	-10
Career	2 teams	426	23	75	98	10