HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Samuel Girard

Pittsburgh Penguins · D · #49
Third-pair DDepth Defenseman?19 points and 58 blocks in 60 games in a supporting role
HT
5'10"
WT
170 lb
Age
28
Shoots
L
From
Roberval, CAN
Draft
2016 NSH · R2 #47
63Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
4141pctl
Playmaking?
4848pctl
Transition?
5252pctl
Defense?
2929pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.3259pctl
Goals / GP?
0.0547pctl
Assists / GP?
0.2764pctl
Shots / GP?
0.714pctl
Plus/Minus?
+1788pctl
PP Points?
027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
1.3%9pctl
ZEIS?
1.5845pctl
PSPL?
0.0728pctl
Def Suppression?
0.2830pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Blocks / GP?
0.9721pctl
Blocks / 60?
3.2018pctl
Hits / 60?
1.219pctl
Take : Give?
0.2028pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:0542pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:5631pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 39 GP tracked · 12h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.0 min22pctl
Support received?
16.3 min86pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1025 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$5.00M

cap hit

$2.83M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium ($2.2M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Samuel Girard63$5.00MD$2.2Mthis player
Joel Edmundson64$3.85MD$0.8M96%
Nils Lundkvist60$1.25MB+$0.9M90%
Troy Stecher62$0.79MB+$1.8M89%
John Marino64$4.40MD$1.3M86%

Chemistry

Top connection: Brock Nelson · 3 goals together

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

5 pts · 0 G · 5 A · 5 shots in last 10Steady(-0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ OTT

0P

0G 0A

vs DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ NYI

1P

0G 1A

vs DET

0P

0G 0A

@ TBL

2P

0G 2A

vs FLA

1P

0G 1A

vs FLA

0P

0G 0A

@ NJD

0P

0G 0A

vs WSH

1P

0G 1A

@ WSH

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)214 events shown

The office: the left point - 1 of 3 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 12 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 59 blocks · 8 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2017-18Nashville Predators5123-3
2017-18Colorado Avalanche6831720-8
2018-19Colorado Avalanche82423278
2019-20Colorado Avalanche70430341
2020-21Colorado Avalanche485273215
2021-22Colorado Avalanche6752328-4
2022-23Colorado Avalanche7663137-10
2023-24Colorado Avalanche59315180
2024-25Colorado Avalanche73321247
2025-26Colorado Avalanche40391212
2025-26Pittsburgh Penguins200775
Career3 teams6083720524223