Regular season

Joel Farabee

Calgary Flames · LW · #86

Middle-six playerDepth Forward?38 points in 82 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'0"
WT: 186 lb
Age: 26
Shoots: L
From: Syracuse, USA
Draft: 2018 PHI · R1 #14

70Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

5858pctl

5757pctl

5353pctl

6666pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.4656pctl

0.2467pctl

0.2246pctl

1.763pctl

-924pctl

346pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

7.1%74pctl

1.9157pctl

0.1873pctl

Def Suppression?

0.5969pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

6.140pctl

2.124pctl

0.3358pctl

2.2468pctl

1:0641pctl

2:0094pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 52 GP tracked · 15h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

49.1%45pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

48.2%44pctl

O-zone deployment?

57%81pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.8 min80pctl

Support received?

17.9 min31pctl

D-zone deployment?

43%19pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0422pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.0966pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.3966pctl

1.01×65pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.24/gm39pctl

Pressure escape rate?

8.8%71pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1132 EV min

General Offense

5.9957

7.3743

Shot Setups/60?

1.0156

Chance Setups/60?

0.8561

Primary Contributions/60?

7.0057

Rebounds Created/60?

0.3737

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0551

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.5852

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2642

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0036

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.1146

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.5457

Rush Offense/60?

7.2642

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.7457

0.7444

0.0525

Deflections/60?

1.1738

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.2678

Entries Finished/60?

0.9066

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.6978

Entry → Chance %?

76%76

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.3263

0.4877

0.8550

Retrieval Success %?

36%76

Exit Involvements/60?

0.1179

Exit Success %?

8%77

Forechecking

2.6040

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$5.00M

cap hit

$4.50M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (−$0.5M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Joel Farabee	70	Depth Forward	38 P · 82 GP	$5.00M	$4.50M	C−$0.5M	this player
Braeden Bowman	69	Depth Forward	26 P · 54 GP	$0.88M	$4.22M	A+$3.3M	87%
Erik Haula	68	Depth Forward	38 P · 81 GP	$3.15M	$3.94M	B+$0.8M	87%
Vasily Podkolzin	68	Depth Forward	37 P · 82 GP	$1.00M	$3.94M	A+$2.9M	85%
Zach Benson	73	Middle-Six Engine	43 P · 65 GP	$0.95M	$5.37M	A++$4.4M	84%

Chemistry

Top connection: Nazem Kadri · 11 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Joel’s goals

Creates for

goals Joel assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

6 pts · 4 G · 2 A · 21 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.8 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs VAN

1P

1G 0A

vs VAN 03-28

1G 0A · 2 shots · 17:36 TOI

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

@ COL 03-30

0G 0A · 2 shots · 15:17 TOI

@ VGK

1P

0G 1A

@ VGK 04-02

0G 1A · 2 shots · 18:37 TOI

@ ANA

2P

1G 1A

@ ANA 04-04

1G 1A · 2 shots · 15:42 TOI

@ DAL

1P

1G 0A

@ DAL 04-07

1G 0A · 3 shots · 15:57 TOI

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

@ COL 04-09

0G 0A · 1 shots · 18:31 TOI

@ SEA

0P

0G 0A

@ SEA 04-11

0G 0A · 1 shots · 15:30 TOI

vs UTA

0P

0G 0A

vs UTA 04-12

0G 0A · 0 shots · 17:20 TOI

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs COL 04-14

0G 0A · 3 shots · 17:44 TOI

vs LAK

1P

1G 0A

vs LAK 04-16

1G 0A · 5 shots · 20:40 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)253 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 7 of 20 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 22 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 63 blocks · 10 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2019-20	Philadelphia Flyers	52	8	13	21	6
2020-21	Philadelphia Flyers	55	20	18	38	0
2021-22	Philadelphia Flyers	63	17	17	34	-11
2022-23	Philadelphia Flyers	82	15	24	39	-1
2023-24	Philadelphia Flyers	82	22	28	50	-13
2024-25	Philadelphia Flyers	50	8	11	19	-12
2024-25	Calgary Flames	31	3	3	6	-5
2025-26	Calgary Flames	82	20	18	38	-9
Career	2 teams	497	113	132	245	-45