Regular season

Josh Samanski

Edmonton Oilers · C · #81

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?4 points in 24 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'2"
WT: 195 lb
Age: 24
Shoots: L
From: Erding, DEU

55Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

2323pctl

2222pctl

2323pctl

7373pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.179pctl

0.0818pctl

0.089pctl

0.40pctl

+266pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

1.5%11pctl

1.0824pctl

0.028pctl

Def Suppression?

0.6373pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

48.2%42pctl

4.736pctl

0.6091pctl

0:017pctl

0:2840pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 21 GP tracked · 4h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

49.6%50pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

46.7%35pctl

O-zone deployment?

52%59pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.9 min16pctl

Support received?

16.4 min82pctl

D-zone deployment?

48%41pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0962pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.2012pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.1721pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.00/gm100pctl

Pressure escape rate?

8.8%72pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 242 EV min

General Offense

2.4825

4.9627

Shot Setups/60?

0.7440

Chance Setups/60?

0.2527

Primary Contributions/60?

3.2325

Rebounds Created/60?

0.0025

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0036

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.2530

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2543

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0041

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0030

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

0.9935

Rush Offense/60?

3.9725

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.7455

0.5032

0.2564

Deflections/60?

1.4955

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.5074

Entries Finished/60?

0.0025

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.0025

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.5027

0.0027

0.5032

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0040

Forechecking

4.4756

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0045

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.97M

cap hit

$1.16M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.2M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Josh Samanski	55	Depth Forward	4 P · 24 GP	$0.97M	$1.16M	C+$0.2M	this player
John Beecher	56	Depth Forward	7 P · 35 GP	$0.90M	$1.30M	C+$0.4M	93%
Colton Sissons	55	Depth Forward	11 P · 66 GP	$2.86M	$1.16M	D−$1.7M	90%
Ozzy Wiesblatt	52	Wrecking Ball	5 P · 40 GP	$0.81M	$0.86M	C+$0.0M	89%
Rodrigo Abols	57	Depth Forward	10 P · 42 GP	-	$1.46M	-	88%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Josh’s goals

Creates for

goals Josh assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

1 pts · 1 G · 0 A · 7 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ UTA

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA 03-24

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:43 TOI

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ VGK 03-26

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:28 TOI

vs ANA

0P

0G 0A

vs ANA 03-28

0G 0A · 1 shots · 11:17 TOI

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA 03-31

0G 0A · 1 shots · 9:48 TOI

vs CHI

0P

0G 0A

vs CHI 04-02

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:13 TOI

vs VGK

0P

0G 0A

vs VGK 04-04

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:40 TOI

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

@ SJS 04-08

0G 0A · 2 shots · 11:19 TOI

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK 04-11

0G 0A · 1 shots · 11:05 TOI

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs COL 04-13

0G 0A · 1 shots · 13:05 TOI

vs VAN

1P

1G 0A

vs VAN 04-16

1G 0A · 1 shots · 14:27 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)69 events shown

The office: the right circle - 1 of 2 goals live there

Defensive floor: 18 blocks · 0 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2025-26	Edmonton Oilers	24	2	2	4	2
Career	1 team	24	2	2	4	2