Regular season

Jayden Struble

Montréal Canadiens · D · #47

Depth DHeavy Hitter?115 hits (8.3/60) - punishes the forecheck

HT: 6'0"
WT: 207 lb
Age: 24
Shoots: L
From: Cumberland, USA
Draft: 2019 MTL · R2 #46

53Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

2424pctl

2727pctl

1717pctl

2222pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.2031pctl

0.0330pctl

0.1733pctl

0.41pctl

+462pctl

027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

0.9%3pctl

0.446pctl

0.0310pctl

Def Suppression?

-0.173pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.540pctl

2.322pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

3.22pctl

8.396pctl

0.2546pctl

0:0110pctl

0:086pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 37 GP tracked · 9h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

53.1%77pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

58.5%86pctl

O-zone deployment?

57%81pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.7 min9pctl

Support received?

16.7 min70pctl

D-zone deployment?

43%19pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0639pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.2922pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.095pctl

1.01×67pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.24/gm41pctl

Pressure escape rate?

6.6%21pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 819 EV min

General Offense

1.6912

3.0045

Shot Setups/60?

0.7342

Chance Setups/60?

0.6650

Primary Contributions/60?

2.4212

Rebounds Created/60?

0.2234

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0775

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.4461

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2979

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0035

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0741

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.1021

Rush Offense/60?

4.3221

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.2237

0.2249

0.0759

Deflections/60?

0.0024

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0773

Entries Finished/60?

0.2237

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.1562

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

2.9362

0.5160

2.4263

Retrieval Success %?

18%51

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0777

Exit Success %?

3%77

Forechecking

0.5163

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0048

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$1.41M

cap hit

$0.93M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (−$0.5M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Jayden Struble	53	Heavy Hitter	12 P · 59 GP	$1.41M	$0.93M	C−$0.5M	this player
Noah Juulsen	53	Heavy Hitter	10 P · 52 GP	$0.90M	$0.93M	C+$0.0M	94%
David Jiricek	52	Depth Defenseman	0 P · 26 GP	$0.92M	$0.86M	C−$0.1M	91%
Dmitri Simashev	54	Depth Defenseman	1 P · 28 GP	$0.95M	$1.04M	C+$0.1M	90%
Kaedan Korczak	57	Depth Defenseman	16 P · 78 GP	$0.82M	$1.51M	C+$0.7M	84%

Chemistry

Top connection: Cole Caufield · 3 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Jayden’s goals

Creates for

goals Jayden assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

1 pts · 1 G · 0 A · 8 shots in last 10Steady(-0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ CAR

0P

0G 0A

@ CAR 03-29

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:30 TOI

@ TBL

0P

0G 0A

@ TBL 03-31

0G 0A · 1 shots · 13:48 TOI

@ NYR

0P

0G 0A

@ NYR 04-02

0G 0A · 0 shots · 15:57 TOI

@ NJD

1P

1G 0A

@ NJD 04-04

1G 0A · 1 shots · 15:28 TOI

vs NJD

0P

0G 0A

vs NJD 04-05

0G 0A · 2 shots · 14:23 TOI

vs FLA

0P

0G 0A

vs FLA 04-07

0G 0A · 1 shots · 17:02 TOI

vs TBL

0P

0G 0A

vs TBL 04-09

0G 0A · 0 shots · 11:09 TOI

vs CBJ

0P

0G 0A

vs CBJ 04-11

0G 0A · 1 shots · 20:21 TOI

@ NYI

0P

0G 0A

@ NYI 04-12

0G 0A · 1 shots · 18:43 TOI

@ PHI

0P

0G 0A

@ PHI 04-14

0G 0A · 1 shots · 17:17 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)134 events shown

The office: the right circle - 2 of 2 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 10 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 32 blocks · 7 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2023-24	Montréal Canadiens	56	3	7	10	-3
2024-25	Montréal Canadiens	56	2	11	13	2
2025-26	Montréal Canadiens	59	2	10	12	4
Career	1 team	171	7	28	35	3