Regular season

Cole Caufield

Montréal Canadiens · RW · #13

First-line playerSniper?51 goals on 34.7 expected - finishes above his chances

HT: 5'8"
WT: 175 lb
Age: 25
Shoots: R
From: Mosinee, USA
Draft: 2019 MTL · R1 #15

89Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

9292pctl

7474pctl

8686pctl

4444pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

1.0995pctl

0.63100pctl

0.4683pctl

3.296pctl

+2998pctl

2996pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

13%97pctl

3.9093pctl

0.1977pctl

Def Suppression?

0.3033pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

10.597pctl

2.023pctl

0.3973pctl

0.854pctl

3:2293pctl

0:0020pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 52 GP tracked · 16h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

52.6%73pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

59.2%88pctl

O-zone deployment?

58%83pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

18.3 min99pctl

Support received?

19.8 min1pctl

D-zone deployment?

42%17pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1590pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

2.0895pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.6293pctl

1.10×96pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.21/gm54pctl

Pressure escape rate?

8.7%70pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1199 EV min

General Offense

8.2588

11.3188

Shot Setups/60?

1.1064

Chance Setups/60?

1.0577

Primary Contributions/60?

9.3587

Rebounds Created/60?

0.5057

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0027

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.8075

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.3049

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0036

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.3084

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.8072

Rush Offense/60?

10.7685

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.7052

0.9565

0.2064

Deflections/60?

0.8019

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.1045

Entries Finished/60?

0.9571

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.7079

Entry → Chance %?

74%72

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.7522

0.2546

0.5020

Retrieval Success %?

33%72

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0033

Exit Success %?

0%30

Forechecking

2.0532

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$7.85M

cap hit

$10.83M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$3.0M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Cole Caufield	89	Sniper	88 P · 81 GP	$7.85M	$10.83M	A+$3.0M	this player
Filip Forsberg	85	Transition Engine	75 P · 82 GP	$8.50M	$9.36M	B+$0.9M	88%
Adrian Kempe	85	Transition Engine	73 P · 81 GP	$5.50M	$9.36M	A+$3.9M	87%
Brady Tkachuk	87	Dual Threat	59 P · 60 GP	$8.21M	$10.09M	B+$1.9M	86%
Pavel Dorofeyev	83	Sniper	64 P · 82 GP	$1.83M	$8.65M	A++$6.8M	86%

Chemistry

Top connection: Nick Suzuki · 38 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Cole’s goals

Creates for

goals Cole assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

11 pts · 6 G · 5 A · 41 shots in last 10Cooling off(-1.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ CAR

2P

1G 1A

@ CAR 03-29

1G 1A · 3 shots · 15:45 TOI

@ TBL

2P

1G 1A

@ TBL 03-31

1G 1A · 4 shots · 17:05 TOI

@ NYR

2P

2G 0A

@ NYR 04-02

2G 0A · 7 shots · 16:20 TOI

@ NJD

2P

0G 2A

@ NJD 04-04

0G 2A · 5 shots · 22:15 TOI

vs NJD

0P

0G 0A

vs NJD 04-05

0G 0A · 3 shots · 20:57 TOI

vs FLA

1P

0G 1A

vs FLA 04-07

0G 1A · 2 shots · 19:09 TOI

vs TBL

1P

1G 0A

vs TBL 04-09

1G 0A · 5 shots · 17:56 TOI

vs CBJ

1P

1G 0A

vs CBJ 04-11

1G 0A · 1 shots · 17:22 TOI

@ NYI

0P

0G 0A

@ NYI 04-12

0G 0A · 1 shots · 17:12 TOI

@ PHI

0P

0G 0A

@ PHI 04-14

0G 0A · 10 shots · 21:21 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)464 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 13 of 51 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 35 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 30 blocks · 7 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2020-21	Montréal Canadiens	10	4	1	5	-1
2021-22	Montréal Canadiens	67	23	20	43	-24
2022-23	Montréal Canadiens	46	26	10	36	-10
2023-24	Montréal Canadiens	82	28	37	65	-4
2024-25	Montréal Canadiens	82	37	33	70	9
2025-26	Montréal Canadiens	81	51	37	88	29
Career	1 team	368	169	138	307	-1