Regular season

Zachary Bolduc

Montréal Canadiens · RW · #76

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 170 hits (9.6/60)

HT: 6'0"
WT: 187 lb
Age: 23
Shoots: L
From: Trois-Rivières, CAN
Draft: 2021 STL · R1 #17

64Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

4545pctl

4444pctl

5555pctl

4848pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.3845pctl

0.1539pctl

0.2349pctl

1.340pctl

-634pctl

659pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

5.7%62pctl

2.0864pctl

0.1042pctl

Def Suppression?

0.4451pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

5.730pctl

9.681pctl

0.2742pctl

2.4275pctl

1:3653pctl

0:0126pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 50 GP tracked · 11h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

52.7%74pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

52.4%63pctl

O-zone deployment?

43%23pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.2 min34pctl

Support received?

17.5 min41pctl

D-zone deployment?

57%77pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0424pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.9055pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.4677pctl

0.97×39pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.13/gm86pctl

Pressure escape rate?

6.7%22pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 938 EV min

General Offense

5.1237

8.4460

Shot Setups/60?

1.0962

Chance Setups/60?

1.0274

Primary Contributions/60?

6.2043

Rebounds Created/60?

0.2624

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0658

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.9079

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.1929

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0674

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.3285

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.7970

Rush Offense/60?

8.0656

Shots off HD Setups/60?

1.0983

0.5829

0.3280

Deflections/60?

2.5687

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0019

Entries Finished/60?

0.5128

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.3232

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.7983

0.4573

1.3482

Retrieval Success %?

25%48

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0034

Exit Success %?

0%31

Forechecking

7.8078

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.86M

cap hit

$2.92M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$2.1M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Zachary Bolduc	64	Depth Forward	30 P · 78 GP	$0.86M	$2.92M	A+$2.1M	this player
Brendan Gallagher	63	Depth Forward	23 P · 77 GP	$6.50M	$2.68M	F−$3.8M	91%
Nick Paul	61	Depth Forward	15 P · 51 GP	$3.15M	$2.24M	D−$0.9M	87%
Nicholas Robertson	65	Depth Forward	32 P · 78 GP	$1.82M	$3.17M	B+$1.3M	87%
Kaapo Kakko	69	Depth Forward	40 P · 65 GP	$4.53M	$4.22M	C−$0.3M	85%

Chemistry

Top connection: Nick Suzuki · 10 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Zachary’s goals

Creates for

goals Zachary assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

4 pts · 2 G · 2 A · 7 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs CBJ

2P

1G 1A

vs CBJ 03-26

1G 1A · 2 shots · 13:51 TOI

@ NSH

0P

0G 0A

@ NSH 03-28

0G 0A · 0 shots · 14:47 TOI

@ CAR

0P

0G 0A

@ CAR 03-29

0G 0A · 2 shots · 14:11 TOI

@ TBL

0P

0G 0A

@ TBL 03-31

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:37 TOI

@ NYR

0P

0G 0A

@ NYR 04-02

0G 0A · 1 shots · 13:07 TOI

@ NJD

0P

0G 0A

@ NJD 04-04

0G 0A · 0 shots · 15:06 TOI

vs NJD

0P

0G 0A

vs NJD 04-05

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:54 TOI

vs FLA

0P

0G 0A

vs FLA 04-07

0G 0A · 0 shots · 15:06 TOI

@ NYI

2P

1G 1A

@ NYI 04-12

1G 1A · 1 shots · 14:15 TOI

@ PHI

0P

0G 0A

@ PHI 04-14

0G 0A · 1 shots · 12:57 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)236 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 5 of 12 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 23 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 54 blocks · 7 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2023-24	St. Louis Blues	25	5	4	9	0
2024-25	St. Louis Blues	72	19	17	36	20
2025-26	Montréal Canadiens	78	12	18	30	-6
Career	2 teams	175	36	39	75	14