Regular season

Kirby Dach

Montréal Canadiens · C · #77

Middle-six playerDepth Forward?15 points in 37 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'4"
WT: 221 lb
Age: 25
Shoots: R
From: Fort Saskatchewan, CAN
Draft: 2019 CHI · R1 #3

67Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

5353pctl

4646pctl

4040pctl

8585pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.4147pctl

0.2259pctl

0.1938pctl

1.338pctl

-250pctl

241pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

5.5%60pctl

1.7249pctl

0.1355pctl

Def Suppression?

0.9290pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

41.4%11pctl

D-Zone FO %?

50.0%52pctl

3.128pctl

0.6595pctl

1:2259pctl

0:0115pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 24 GP tracked · 5h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

47.0%26pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

38.7%13pctl

O-zone deployment?

46%34pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.1 min28pctl

Support received?

17.4 min46pctl

D-zone deployment?

54%66pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0538pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.3980pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.3254pctl

0.98×42pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.14/gm85pctl

Pressure escape rate?

3.6%0pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 454 EV min

General Offense

5.9555

8.2055

Shot Setups/60?

0.7941

Chance Setups/60?

0.6642

Primary Contributions/60?

6.7453

Rebounds Created/60?

0.5359

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0032

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.5346

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.4060

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0039

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.1354

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.0634

Rush Offense/60?

8.3359

Shots off HD Setups/60?

1.0676

0.5329

0.4079

Deflections/60?

1.4553

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.2672

Entries Finished/60?

1.3278

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.7976

Entry → Chance %?

60%45

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.0645

0.4064

0.6637

Exit Involvements/60?

0.1377

Forechecking

5.0262

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0043

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$3.36M

cap hit

$3.68M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.3M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Kirby Dach	67	Depth Forward	15 P · 37 GP	$3.36M	$3.68M	C+$0.3M	this player
Thomas Novak	70	Depth Forward	42 P · 82 GP	$3.50M	$4.50M	B+$1.0M	86%
Eetu Luostarinen	68	Depth Forward	33 P · 73 GP	$3.00M	$3.94M	B+$0.9M	84%
Oliver Kapanen	68	Depth Forward	37 P · 82 GP	$0.93M	$3.94M	A+$3.0M	84%
Fraser Minten	67	Depth Forward	35 P · 82 GP	$0.82M	$3.68M	A+$2.9M	82%

Chemistry

Top connection: Noah Dobson · 4 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Kirby’s goals

Creates for

goals Kirby assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 0 G · 2 A · 10 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ LAK

1P

0G 1A

@ LAK 03-07

0G 1A · 1 shots · 13:48 TOI

vs TOR

0P

0G 0A

vs TOR 03-10

0G 0A · 1 shots · 11:36 TOI

@ OTT

0P

0G 0A

@ OTT 03-11

0G 0A · 2 shots · 14:14 TOI

vs SJS

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS 03-14

0G 0A · 4 shots · 15:02 TOI

vs ANA

0P

0G 0A

vs ANA 03-15

0G 0A · 0 shots · 1:13 TOI

vs FLA

0P

0G 0A

vs FLA 04-07

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:51 TOI

vs TBL

0P

0G 0A

vs TBL 04-09

0G 0A · 0 shots · 14:38 TOI

vs CBJ

0P

0G 0A

vs CBJ 04-11

0G 0A · 1 shots · 12:11 TOI

@ NYI

1P

0G 1A

@ NYI 04-12

0G 1A · 1 shots · 11:59 TOI

@ PHI

0P

0G 0A

@ PHI 04-14

0G 0A · 0 shots · 11:08 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)129 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 5 of 8 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 5 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 34 blocks · 5 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2019-20	Chicago Blackhawks	64	8	15	23	-1
2020-21	Chicago Blackhawks	18	2	8	10	-3
2021-22	Chicago Blackhawks	70	9	17	26	-18
2022-23	Montréal Canadiens	58	14	24	38	-2
2023-24	Montréal Canadiens	2	0	2	2	2
2024-25	Montréal Canadiens	57	10	12	22	-29
2025-26	Montréal Canadiens	37	8	7	15	-2
Career	2 teams	306	51	85	136	-53