Regular season

Mitchell Chaffee

New York Islanders · RW · #41

Bottom-six playerWrecking Ball?29 hits (16.5/60) - physically tilts every shift

HT: 6'1"
WT: 197 lb
Age: 28
Shoots: R
From: Grand Rapids, USA

59Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

2828pctl

4646pctl

2727pctl

2828pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.092pctl

0.000pctl

0.0911pctl

0.89pctl

-250pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

3%31pctl

-0.321pctl

0.1977pctl

Def Suppression?

0.058pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

5.118pctl

16.593pctl

0.000pctl

2.8585pctl

0:5036pctl

0:0449pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 8 GP tracked · 1h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

58.8%97pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.1 min1pctl

Support received?

15.8 min93pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1177pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.8653pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.3356pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.11/gm90pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 95 EV min

General Offense

5.6650

6.2940

Shot Setups/60?

1.8964

Chance Setups/60?

1.8964

Primary Contributions/60?

7.5556

Rebounds Created/60?

1.2664

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0042

Center-Lane Setups/60?

1.8964

High-Danger Setups/60?

1.2664

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0045

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.6364

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.2647

Rush Offense/60?

4.4036

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.6348

1.8964

0.0038

Deflections/60?

1.2647

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0039

Entries Finished/60?

0.0036

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.0036

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.8962

0.0037

1.8964

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0044

Forechecking

11.9663

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0047

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.80M

cap hit

$1.83M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.0M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Mitchell Chaffee	59	Wrecking Ball	1 P · 11 GP	$0.80M	$1.83M	B+$1.0M	this player
Jani Nyman	60	Depth Forward	7 P · 28 GP	$0.89M	$2.03M	B+$1.1M	83%
Scott Sabourin	57	Wrecking Ball	5 P · 26 GP	$0.78M	$1.46M	C+$0.7M	82%
Paul Cotter	54	Depth Forward	15 P · 79 GP	$0.78M	$1.03M	C+$0.3M	81%
Alexander Holtz	61	Depth Forward	9 P · 28 GP	$0.84M	$2.24M	B+$1.4M	80%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Mitchell’s goals

No credited connections yet.

Creates for

goals Mitchell assisted on

Oliver Bjorkstrand1

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

1 pts · 0 G · 1 A · 8 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs NJD

0P

0G 0A

vs NJD 10-11

0G 0A · 0 shots · 8:28 TOI

@ BOS

0P

0G 0A

@ BOS 10-13

0G 0A · 0 shots · 7:23 TOI

@ WSH

0P

0G 0A

@ WSH 10-14

0G 0A · 1 shots · 8:04 TOI

@ DET

0P

0G 0A

@ DET 10-17

0G 0A · 3 shots · 10:18 TOI

@ CBJ

0P

0G 0A

@ CBJ 10-18

0G 0A · 0 shots · 8:40 TOI

vs CHI

0P

0G 0A

vs CHI 10-23

0G 0A · 3 shots · 10:09 TOI

vs PIT

0P

0G 0A

vs PIT 04-02

0G 0A · 1 shots · 9:23 TOI

vs BOS

0P

0G 0A

vs BOS 04-04

0G 0A · 0 shots · 9:39 TOI

@ BUF

0P

0G 0A

@ BUF 04-06

0G 0A · 0 shots · 6:23 TOI

vs NYR

1P

0G 1A

vs NYR 04-15

0G 1A · 0 shots · 13:19 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)12 events shown

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2021-22	Minnesota Wild	2	0	0	0	1
2023-24	Tampa Bay Lightning	30	4	3	7	2
2024-25	Tampa Bay Lightning	66	12	6	18	-3
2025-26	Tampa Bay Lightning	11	0	1	1	-2
Career	2 teams	109	16	10	26	-2