Regular season

Alexander Holtz

Vegas Golden Knights · RW · #10

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?9 points in 28 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'0"
WT: 198 lb
Age: 24
Shoots: R
From: Stockholm, SWE
Draft: 2020 NJD · R1 #7

61Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

3535pctl

3636pctl

4444pctl

3434pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.3235pctl

0.1125pctl

0.2144pctl

1.125pctl

-154pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

4.9%55pctl

1.7149pctl

0.0519pctl

Def Suppression?

0.3439pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

5.627pctl

5.460pctl

0.050pctl

2.0564pctl

0:2728pctl

0:0347pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 13 GP tracked · 3h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

43.4%10pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

57.1%81pctl

O-zone deployment?

48%41pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.0 min23pctl

Support received?

16.9 min64pctl

D-zone deployment?

52%59pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0751pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.3175pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.3660pctl

0.84×2pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.07/gm98pctl

Pressure escape rate?

9.0%75pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 308 EV min

General Offense

5.4648

10.1571

Shot Setups/60?

0.7841

Chance Setups/60?

0.7853

Primary Contributions/60?

6.2446

Rebounds Created/60?

0.2028

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0034

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.3935

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.3958

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0040

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.2063

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.9569

Rush Offense/60?

8.3958

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.7858

1.5676

0.3974

Deflections/60?

2.3475

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0028

Entries Finished/60?

0.9865

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.5962

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.5926

0.0024

0.5935

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0039

Forechecking

3.7152

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0044

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.84M

cap hit

$2.24M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.4M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Alexander Holtz	61	Depth Forward	9 P · 28 GP	$0.84M	$2.24M	B+$1.4M	this player
Rutger McGroarty	61	Depth Forward	6 P · 24 GP	$0.95M	$2.24M	B+$1.3M	92%
Elmer Soderblom	57	Depth Forward	13 P · 59 GP	$1.13M	$1.46M	C+$0.3M	91%
Eric Robinson	60	Depth Forward	18 P · 67 GP	$1.70M	$2.03M	C+$0.3M	89%
Jani Nyman	60	Depth Forward	7 P · 28 GP	$0.89M	$2.03M	B+$1.1M	88%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Alexander’s goals

Creates for

goals Alexander assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

4 pts · 1 G · 3 A · 10 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ BOS

0P

0G 0A

@ BOS 01-22

0G 0A · 1 shots · 10:17 TOI

@ TOR

1P

0G 1A

@ TOR 01-23

0G 1A · 1 shots · 9:45 TOI

@ MTL

0P

0G 0A

@ MTL 01-27

0G 0A · 0 shots · 5:18 TOI

vs DAL

0P

0G 0A

vs DAL 01-29

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:11 TOI

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA 01-31

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:05 TOI

@ ANA

1P

0G 1A

@ ANA 02-01

0G 1A · 2 shots · 10:45 TOI

vs VAN

1P

1G 0A

vs VAN 02-04

1G 0A · 2 shots · 14:09 TOI

vs LAK

0P

0G 0A

vs LAK 02-05

0G 0A · 2 shots · 12:04 TOI

@ LAK

1P

0G 1A

@ LAK 02-25

0G 1A · 2 shots · 14:10 TOI

@ WSH

0P

0G 0A

@ WSH 02-27

0G 0A · 0 shots · 8:04 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)71 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 1 of 3 goals live there

Defensive floor: 14 blocks · 0 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2021-22	New Jersey Devils	9	0	2	2	-5
2022-23	New Jersey Devils	19	3	1	4	-6
2023-24	New Jersey Devils	82	16	12	28	-15
2024-25	Vegas Golden Knights	53	4	8	12	-3
2025-26	Vegas Golden Knights	28	3	6	9	-1
Career	2 teams	191	26	29	55	-30