Regular season

Paul Cotter

Vancouver Canucks · LW · #47

Depth playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 192 hits (13.7/60)

HT: 6'2"
WT: 213 lb
Age: 26
Shoots: L
From: Canton, USA
Draft: 2018 VGK · R4 #115

54Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

2525pctl

3030pctl

2828pctl

2525pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.1914pctl

0.1128pctl

0.087pctl

0.87pctl

-244pctl

135pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

3.4%36pctl

1.4540pctl

0.1251pctl

Def Suppression?

0.2021pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

4.38pctl

13.789pctl

0.2636pctl

1.5639pctl

0:1021pctl

0:0134pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 48 GP tracked · 9h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

40.5%3pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

24.2%1pctl

O-zone deployment?

54%69pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.4 min3pctl

Support received?

15.9 min92pctl

D-zone deployment?

46%31pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0426pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.7546pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.1824pctl

0.95×26pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.24/gm42pctl

Pressure escape rate?

8.7%69pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 829 EV min

General Offense

3.9818

6.7331

Shot Setups/60?

1.3077

Chance Setups/60?

1.1681

Primary Contributions/60?

5.2924

Rebounds Created/60?

0.3638

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0762

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.7266

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.5882

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0037

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.1458

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

0.8020

Rush Offense/60?

7.3143

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.5131

0.5124

0.0018

Deflections/60?

1.0934

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.2271

Entries Finished/60?

0.5835

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.5866

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.5115

0.0721

0.4317

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0034

Forechecking

8.1878

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.78M

cap hit

$1.03M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.3M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Paul Cotter	54	Depth Forward	15 P · 79 GP	$0.78M	$1.03M	C+$0.3M	this player
Nils Hoglander	54	Depth Forward	5 P · 38 GP	$3.00M	$1.03M	D−$2.0M	94%
Jacob Melanson	54	Wrecking Ball	5 P · 36 GP	$0.83M	$1.03M	C+$0.2M	92%
Tanner Pearson	55	Depth Forward	15 P · 56 GP	-	$1.16M	-	91%
Cole Reinhardt	55	Depth Forward	15 P · 59 GP	$0.81M	$1.16M	C+$0.3M	90%

Chemistry

Top connection: Dougie Hamilton · 3 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Paul’s goals

Creates for

goals Paul assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

1 pts · 1 G · 0 A · 6 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs CHI

0P

0G 0A

vs CHI 03-29

0G 0A · 0 shots · 7:36 TOI

@ NYR

0P

0G 0A

@ NYR 03-31

0G 0A · 1 shots · 8:05 TOI

vs WSH

0P

0G 0A

vs WSH 04-02

0G 0A · 0 shots · 6:58 TOI

vs MTL

0P

0G 0A

vs MTL 04-04

0G 0A · 0 shots · 6:27 TOI

@ MTL

0P

0G 0A

@ MTL 04-05

0G 0A · 0 shots · 7:14 TOI

vs PHI

0P

0G 0A

vs PHI 04-07

0G 0A · 0 shots · 11:55 TOI

vs PIT

1P

1G 0A

vs PIT 04-09

1G 0A · 1 shots · 10:49 TOI

@ DET

0P

0G 0A

@ DET 04-11

0G 0A · 0 shots · 8:54 TOI

vs OTT

0P

0G 0A

vs OTT 04-12

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:23 TOI

@ BOS

0P

0G 0A

@ BOS 04-14

0G 0A · 4 shots · 12:31 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)145 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 6 of 9 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 16 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 23 blocks · 1 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2021-22	Vegas Golden Knights	7	2	0	2	1
2022-23	Vegas Golden Knights	55	13	5	18	-5
2023-24	Vegas Golden Knights	76	7	18	25	-11
2024-25	New Jersey Devils	79	16	6	22	-14
2025-26	New Jersey Devils	79	9	6	15	-24
Career	2 teams	296	47	35	82	-53