Tampa Bay Lightning
50-26-6 · 106 pts · GF 290 / GA 231
#2 Atlantic · #3 Eastern · #5 NHL
Alpha model: deserved 46.0 wins · got 50 · 4.0 wins lucky
Cooling off
5-5-0 in their last 10 - well below their season pace
Report card
overall B+ · graded vs all 32 teamsOffense
A
3.49 GF/GP
#4 of 32
Defense
A+
2.79 GA/GP
#3 of 32
Power play
C+
20.7%
#17 of 32
Penalty kill
A+
82.6%
#3 of 32
Faceoffs
F
47.4%
#28 of 32
Shot volume
B+
+1.4 SOG/GP
#9 of 32
Season games
click any game to open it in the Game Lab
vs MTLPOTBL 1-2
@ MTLPOTBL 1-0
vs MTLPOTBL 2-3
@ MTLPOTBL 3-2
@ MTLPOTBL 2-3
vs MTLPOTBL 3-2
vs MTLPOTBL 3-4
vs NYRTBL 2-4
vs DETTBL 4-3
@ BOSTBL 2-1
@ MTLTBL 1-2
@ OTTTBL 2-6
@ BUFTBL 2-4
vs BOSTBL 3-1
vs PITTBL 6-3
vs MTLTBL 1-4
vs NSHTBL 3-2
vs OTTTBL 4-2
vs SEATBL 3-4
vs MINTBL 6-3
@ CGYTBL 3-4
@ EDMTBL 5-2
@ VANTBL 6-2
@ SEATBL 6-2
vs CARTBL 2-4
vs DETTBL 4-1
vs CBJTBL 2-5
@ BUFTBL 7-8
@ TORTBL 5-2
@ WPGTBL 1-4
@ MINTBL 1-5
vs BUFTBL 2-6
@ CARTBL 4-5
vs TORTBL 4-2
vs FLATBL 6-1
vs BUFTBL 4-3
vs BOSTBL 6-5
vs WPGTBL 4-1
vs UTATBL 2-0
@ CBJTBL 5-8
@ CHITBL 2-1
vs SJSTBL 4-1
@ DALTBL 4-1
@ STLTBL 2-3
@ PITTBL 2-1
@ PHITBL 5-1
@ PHITBL 7-2
vs COLTBL 4-2
@ SJSTBL 7-3
@ LAKTBL 5-3
@ ANATBL 4-3
vs MTLTBL 5-4
@ FLATBL 4-2
vs STLTBL 4-1
vs CARTBL 6-4
vs LAKTBL 1-2
vs FLATBL 2-5
@ NYITBL 2-3
@ NJDTBL 8-4
@ MTLTBL 6-1
@ TORTBL 0-2
vs NYITBL 0-2
vs PITTBL 3-4
@ NYITBL 1-2
@ NYRTBL 4-1
@ DETTBL 6-3
vs CGYTBL 5-1
vs PHITBL 3-0
@ WSHTBL 5-3
vs EDMTBL 2-1
vs NJDTBL 5-1
vs VANTBL 2-6
@ FLATBL 3-1
vs NYRTBL 3-7
vs WSHTBL 3-2
@ VGKTBL 6-3
@ COLTBL 2-3
@ UTATBL 4-2
vs DALTBL 2-1
@ NSHTBL 5-2
vs VGKTBL 2-1
vs ANATBL 4-3
vs CHITBL 2-3
@ CBJTBL 2-3
@ DETTBL 1-2
@ WSHTBL 2-3
@ BOSTBL 4-3
vs NJDTBL 3-5
vs OTTTBL 4-5
Comparable teams
nearest statistical profiles · match = fit across all categoriesProjected lines
Alpha-model projection - best available player for each slotForwards
LW
C
RW
Jeffrey Viel
#25 · LW
Bottom-six player · Depth Forward
3G · 7A · 10P · -3 · 45 GP
$0.78M cap hitB+$0.9M
Brayden Point
#21 · C
Top-six player · Middle-Six Engine
18G · 32A · 50P · +12 · 63 GP
$9.50M cap hitD−$1.2M
Ilya Mikheyev
#95 · RW
Middle-six player · Depth Forward
18G · 18A · 36P · +2 · 77 GP
$4.75M cap hitD−$1.1M
Anthony Cirelli
#71 · C
Top-six player · Two-Way Force
23G · 29A · 52P · +38 · 71 GP
$6.25M cap hitB+$1.4M
Dominic James
#17 · C
Bottom-six player · Depth Forward
7G · 8A · 15P · +4 · 43 GP
$0.91M cap hitB+$1.8M
Pontus Holmberg
#29 · RW
Bottom-six player · Depth Forward
11G · 11A · 22P · +1 · 70 GP
$1.55M cap hitB+$1.4M
Gage Goncalves
#93 · C
Bottom-six player · Depth Forward
11G · 22A · 33P · +26 · 74 GP
$1.20M cap hitB+$1.0M
Yanni Gourde
#37 · C
Bottom-six player · Depth Forward
9G · 19A · 28P · -6 · 82 GP
$2.33M cap hitC−$0.1M
Scott Sabourin
#46 · RW
Bottom-six player · Wrecking Ball
1G · 4A · 5P · +1 · 26 GP
$0.78M cap hitC+$0.7M
Defense
Goalies
Rest of the roster
Conor Geekie
#14 · C
Bottom-six player · Depth Forward
1G · 2A · 3P · -3 · 14 GP
$0.89M cap hitB+$0.9M
Zemgus Girgensons
#28 · C
Bottom-six player · Depth Forward
9G · 11A · 20P · +1 · 74 GP
$0.88M cap hitB+$1.2M
Jansen Harkins
#10 · C
Bottom-six player · Wrecking Ball
3G · 5A · 8P · -6 · 44 GP
$0.79M cap hitC+$0.4M
Max Crozier
#24 · D
Third-pair D · Depth Defenseman
1G · 9A · 10P · +7 · 35 GP
$0.82M cap hitA+$3.1M
Emil Lilleberg
#78 · D
Depth D · Heavy Hitter
4G · 8A · 12P · +15 · 50 GP
$0.82M cap hitB+$0.9M
Cap breakdown
grades vs our Alpha market model (beta) · cap data: CapWages$100.9M of $95.5M · $5.4M over
Best contracts