Regular season

Jake Sanderson

Ottawa Senators · D · #85

EliteOffensive QB?54 points from the blue line - runs the attack

HT: 6'2"
WT: 202 lb
Age: 24
Shoots: L
From: Whitefish, USA
Draft: 2020 OTT · R1 #5

88Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

8989pctl

8787pctl

8989pctl

7474pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.8194pctl

0.2196pctl

0.6093pctl

2.293pctl

+1687pctl

2295pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

5.8%63pctl

3.6191pctl

0.2589pctl

Def Suppression?

0.9992pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

1.9190pctl

4.6163pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

6.368pctl

1.016pctl

0.3886pctl

3:1595pctl

2:5794pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 35 GP tracked · 15h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

58.2%95pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

60.0%90pctl

O-zone deployment?

52%58pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

18.0 min94pctl

Support received?

17.4 min46pctl

D-zone deployment?

48%42pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0855pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.8351pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.3456pctl

1.05×84pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.28/gm29pctl

Pressure escape rate?

8.6%68pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1248 EV min

General Offense

4.3373

4.5784

Shot Setups/60?

1.4489

Chance Setups/60?

1.2089

Primary Contributions/60?

5.7779

Rebounds Created/60?

0.4368

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.1084

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.5374

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2474

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0570

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.1977

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.7356

Rush Offense/60?

6.5473

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.5382

0.1941

0.0549

Deflections/60?

0.0022

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0031

Entries Finished/60?

0.4377

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.0532

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

2.8859

0.5869

2.3156

Retrieval Success %?

20%63

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0577

Exit Success %?

2%73

Forechecking

0.3849

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0048

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$8.05M

cap hit

$11.24M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$3.2M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Jake Sanderson	88	Offensive QB	54 P · 67 GP	$8.05M	$11.24M	A+$3.2M	this player
Moritz Seider	86	Two-Way D	60 P · 82 GP	$8.55M	$10.44M	B+$1.9M	91%
Lane Hutson	89	Two-Way D	78 P · 82 GP	$0.95M	$12.00M	A++$11.0M	91%
Jackson LaCombe	85	Offensive QB	58 P · 82 GP	$0.93M	$10.05M	A++$9.1M	89%
Adam Fox	87	Offensive QB	53 P · 55 GP	$9.50M	$10.84M	B+$1.3M	89%

Chemistry

Top connection: Tim Stützle · 12 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Jake’s goals

Creates for

goals Jake assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

8 pts · 3 G · 5 A · 28 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.8 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs DET

1P

0G 1A

vs DET 02-26

0G 1A · 3 shots · 26:39 TOI

@ TOR

1P

0G 1A

@ TOR 02-28

0G 1A · 1 shots · 23:12 TOI

@ EDM

0P

0G 0A

@ EDM 03-03

0G 0A · 3 shots · 25:36 TOI

@ CGY

0P

0G 0A

@ CGY 03-05

0G 0A · 4 shots · 23:51 TOI

@ SEA

0P

0G 0A

@ SEA 03-07

0G 0A · 3 shots · 12:52 TOI

vs MIN

0P

0G 0A

vs MIN 04-04

0G 0A · 3 shots · 24:55 TOI

vs CAR

1P

0G 1A

vs CAR 04-05

0G 1A · 2 shots · 26:47 TOI

vs TBL

2P

2G 0A

vs TBL 04-07

2G 0A · 5 shots · 24:08 TOI

vs FLA

2P

0G 2A

vs FLA 04-09

0G 2A · 2 shots · 22:22 TOI

@ NYI

1P

1G 0A

@ NYI 04-11

1G 0A · 2 shots · 27:38 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)534 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 5 of 14 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 39 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 125 blocks · 18 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2022-23	Ottawa Senators	77	4	28	32	-6
2023-24	Ottawa Senators	79	10	28	38	8
2024-25	Ottawa Senators	80	11	46	57	-14
2025-26	Ottawa Senators	67	14	40	54	16
Career	1 team	303	39	142	181	4