Regular season

Ridly Greig

Ottawa Senators · C · #71

Middle-six playerDepth Forward?35 points in 77 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'0"
WT: 184 lb
Age: 23
Shoots: L
From: Lethbridge, CAN
Draft: 2020 OTT · R1 #28

67Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

5454pctl

4242pctl

5959pctl

7777pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.4555pctl

0.1745pctl

0.2960pctl

1.761pctl

+1287pctl

346pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

7.1%74pctl

2.1967pctl

0.0624pctl

Def Suppression?

0.6977pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

51.2%61pctl

D-Zone FO %?

57.6%92pctl

6.646pctl

0.4170pctl

0:6051pctl

2:0488pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 49 GP tracked · 14h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

55.3%88pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

50.9%56pctl

O-zone deployment?

46%35pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.7 min72pctl

Support received?

18.1 min28pctl

D-zone deployment?

54%65pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0855pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.7790pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.4778pctl

1.01×65pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.16/gm77pctl

Pressure escape rate?

10.6%94pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1049 EV min

General Offense

6.1260

8.1256

Shot Setups/60?

0.8039

Chance Setups/60?

0.5733

Primary Contributions/60?

6.9257

Rebounds Created/60?

0.5159

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0654

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.5143

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.4672

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0036

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0632

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.0931

Rush Offense/60?

8.2961

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.6949

1.0973

0.1756

Deflections/60?

1.5461

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.2374

Entries Finished/60?

0.9772

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.5159

Entry → Chance %?

53%30

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.0340

0.1733

0.8651

Retrieval Success %?

17%27

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0665

Exit Success %?

6%68

Forechecking

3.2048

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$3.25M

cap hit

$3.68M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.4M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Ridly Greig	67	Depth Forward	35 P · 77 GP	$3.25M	$3.68M	C+$0.4M	this player
Fraser Minten	67	Depth Forward	35 P · 82 GP	$0.82M	$3.68M	A+$2.9M	89%
Thomas Novak	70	Depth Forward	42 P · 82 GP	$3.50M	$4.50M	B+$1.0M	86%
Matt Savoie	67	Depth Forward	37 P · 82 GP	$0.89M	$3.68M	A+$2.8M	85%
Eetu Luostarinen	68	Depth Forward	33 P · 73 GP	$3.00M	$3.94M	B+$0.9M	83%

Chemistry

Top connection: Dylan Cozens · 8 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Ridly’s goals

Creates for

goals Ridly assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

7 pts · 2 G · 5 A · 17 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.6 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ TBL

0P

0G 0A

@ TBL 03-28

0G 0A · 0 shots · 15:13 TOI

@ FLA

1P

0G 1A

@ FLA 03-31

0G 1A · 1 shots · 16:53 TOI

vs BUF

2P

1G 1A

vs BUF 04-02

1G 1A · 1 shots · 17:08 TOI

vs MIN

0P

0G 0A

vs MIN 04-04

0G 0A · 6 shots · 15:19 TOI

vs CAR

2P

0G 2A

vs CAR 04-05

0G 2A · 3 shots · 16:30 TOI

vs TBL

0P

0G 0A

vs TBL 04-07

0G 0A · 1 shots · 17:02 TOI

vs FLA

0P

0G 0A

vs FLA 04-09

0G 0A · 2 shots · 16:48 TOI

@ NYI

2P

1G 1A

@ NYI 04-11

1G 1A · 1 shots · 22:36 TOI

@ NJD

0P

0G 0A

@ NJD 04-12

0G 0A · 2 shots · 17:35 TOI

vs TOR

0P

0G 0A

vs TOR 04-15

0G 0A · 0 shots · 17:10 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)406 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 8 of 13 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 19 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 67 blocks · 7 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2022-23	Ottawa Senators	20	2	7	9	1
2023-24	Ottawa Senators	72	13	13	26	10
2024-25	Ottawa Senators	78	13	21	34	-11
2025-26	Ottawa Senators	77	13	22	35	12
Career	1 team	247	41	63	104	12