Regular season

Tim Stützle

Ottawa Senators · C · #18

First-line playerSniper?34 goals on 27.1 expected - finishes above his chances

HT: 6'0"
WT: 187 lb
Age: 24
Shoots: L
From: Viersen, DEU
Draft: 2020 OTT · R1 #3

87Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

8484pctl

7676pctl

8383pctl

6060pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

1.0494pctl

0.4292pctl

0.6194pctl

2.485pctl

+780pctl

2996pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

10.5%90pctl

3.4790pctl

0.1770pctl

Def Suppression?

0.4756pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

53.0%74pctl

D-Zone FO %?

48.4%44pctl

8.054pctl

0.3758pctl

3:2791pctl

1:5279pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 48 GP tracked · 16h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

56.8%93pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

50.0%52pctl

O-zone deployment?

72%99pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.6 min65pctl

Support received?

17.9 min33pctl

D-zone deployment?

28%1pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1073pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.6788pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.4271pctl

1.06×88pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.19/gm62pctl

Pressure escape rate?

8.7%68pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1196 EV min

General Offense

5.6250

9.0871

Shot Setups/60?

0.4514

Chance Setups/60?

0.4019

Primary Contributions/60?

6.0739

Rebounds Created/60?

0.1515

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0027

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.4030

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2538

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0036

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0529

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

2.0681

Rush Offense/60?

6.8735

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.5029

0.7039

0.0523

Deflections/60?

0.9025

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.1046

Entries Finished/60?

0.6038

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.4548

Entry → Chance %?

75%75

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.4067

0.5078

0.9055

Retrieval Success %?

36%75

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0561

Exit Success %?

4%56

Forechecking

3.7153

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0577

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$8.35M

cap hit

$10.09M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.7M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Tim Stützle	87	Sniper	83 P · 80 GP	$8.35M	$10.09M	B+$1.7M	this player
Bo Horvat	84	Sniper	57 P · 68 GP	$8.50M	$9.00M	C+$0.5M	89%
Leo Carlsson	87	Top-Six Threat	67 P · 70 GP	$0.95M	$10.09M	A++$9.1M	89%
Sidney Crosby	87	Top-Six Threat	74 P · 68 GP	$8.70M	$10.09M	B+$1.4M	88%
Sam Reinhart	85	Sniper	61 P · 64 GP	$8.63M	$9.36M	C+$0.7M	87%

Chemistry

Top connection: Drake Batherson · 24 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Tim’s goals

Creates for

goals Tim assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

11 pts · 2 G · 9 A · 24 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.6 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ DET

1P

0G 1A

@ DET 03-24

0G 1A · 2 shots · 17:33 TOI

vs PIT

2P

0G 2A

vs PIT 03-26

0G 2A · 3 shots · 23:21 TOI

@ TBL

0P

0G 0A

@ TBL 03-28

0G 0A · 3 shots · 21:41 TOI

@ FLA

1P

0G 1A

@ FLA 03-31

0G 1A · 2 shots · 21:05 TOI

vs BUF

0P

0G 0A

vs BUF 04-02

0G 0A · 2 shots · 19:57 TOI

vs MIN

1P

0G 1A

vs MIN 04-04

0G 1A · 1 shots · 16:31 TOI

vs CAR

2P

1G 1A

vs CAR 04-05

1G 1A · 2 shots · 16:56 TOI

vs TBL

3P

1G 2A

vs TBL 04-07

1G 2A · 4 shots · 18:31 TOI

vs FLA

0P

0G 0A

vs FLA 04-09

0G 0A · 4 shots · 16:49 TOI

@ NYI

1P

0G 1A

@ NYI 04-11

0G 1A · 1 shots · 21:00 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)557 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 14 of 34 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 21 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 48 blocks · 19 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2020-21	Ottawa Senators	53	12	17	29	-18
2021-22	Ottawa Senators	79	22	36	58	-27
2022-23	Ottawa Senators	78	39	51	90	-3
2023-24	Ottawa Senators	75	18	52	70	-17
2024-25	Ottawa Senators	82	24	55	79	0
2025-26	Ottawa Senators	80	34	49	83	7
Career	1 team	447	149	260	409	-58