Regular season

Brady Tkachuk

Florida Panthers · LW · #8

First-line playerDual Threat?22G + 37A - elite at finishing and creating (top ~10% of forwards in both)

HT: 6'4"
WT: 226 lb
Age: 26
Shoots: L
From: Scottsdale, USA
Draft: 2018 OTT · R1 #4

87Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

8686pctl

8686pctl

8484pctl

4949pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.9893pctl

0.3787pctl

0.6294pctl

3.799pctl

+473pctl

2087pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

14.3%99pctl

3.5891pctl

0.3095pctl

Def Suppression?

0.3743pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

13.099pctl

9.681pctl

0.3565pctl

1.1216pctl

3:1790pctl

0:0450pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 44 GP tracked · 13h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

61.7%100pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

54.3%72pctl

O-zone deployment?

66%97pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.6 min68pctl

Support received?

18.4 min17pctl

D-zone deployment?

34%3pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.2399pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

2.7199pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.8299pctl

1.00×60pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.15/gm79pctl

Pressure escape rate?

11.6%98pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 817 EV min

General Offense

10.7389

11.4686

Shot Setups/60?

1.2572

Chance Setups/60?

1.2584

Primary Contributions/60?

11.9889

Rebounds Created/60?

1.1088

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0028

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.7367

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.3759

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0776

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0740

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

2.4386

Rush Offense/60?

12.1386

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.8164

1.1073

0.1549

Deflections/60?

1.1839

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0020

Entries Finished/60?

0.8158

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.5967

Entry → Chance %?

73%69

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.5918

0.0721

0.5123

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0035

Forechecking

7.1374

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$8.21M

cap hit

$10.09M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.9M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Brady Tkachuk	87	Dual Threat	59 P · 60 GP	$8.21M	$10.09M	B+$1.9M	this player
Kirill Marchenko	85	Top-Six Threat	67 P · 76 GP	$3.85M	$9.36M	A++$5.5M	89%
Adrian Kempe	85	Transition Engine	73 P · 81 GP	$5.50M	$9.36M	A+$3.9M	88%
Troy Terry	85	Top-Six Threat	57 P · 61 GP	$7.00M	$9.36M	A+$2.4M	87%
Cole Caufield	89	Sniper	88 P · 81 GP	$7.85M	$10.83M	A+$3.0M	86%

Chemistry

Top connection: Tim Stützle · 15 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Brady’s goals

Creates for

goals Brady assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

12 pts · 3 G · 9 A · 29 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ DET

2P

1G 1A

@ DET 03-24

1G 1A · 1 shots · 15:48 TOI

vs PIT

1P

0G 1A

vs PIT 03-26

0G 1A · 4 shots · 19:01 TOI

@ TBL

1P

0G 1A

@ TBL 03-28

0G 1A · 3 shots · 16:55 TOI

@ FLA

0P

0G 0A

@ FLA 03-31

0G 0A · 4 shots · 20:18 TOI

vs BUF

1P

0G 1A

vs BUF 04-02

0G 1A · 0 shots · 15:55 TOI

vs MIN

0P

0G 0A

vs MIN 04-04

0G 0A · 7 shots · 16:59 TOI

vs CAR

2P

2G 0A

vs CAR 04-05

2G 0A · 5 shots · 15:35 TOI

vs TBL

4P

0G 4A

vs TBL 04-07

0G 4A · 3 shots · 16:42 TOI

vs FLA

1P

0G 1A

vs FLA 04-09

0G 1A · 1 shots · 17:13 TOI

@ NYI

0P

0G 0A

@ NYI 04-11

0G 0A · 1 shots · 10:25 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)370 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 9 of 22 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 24 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 31 blocks · 2 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2018-19	Ottawa Senators	71	22	23	45	-10
2019-20	Ottawa Senators	71	21	23	44	-14
2020-21	Ottawa Senators	56	17	19	36	-17
2021-22	Ottawa Senators	79	30	37	67	-7
2022-23	Ottawa Senators	82	35	48	83	-10
2023-24	Ottawa Senators	81	37	37	74	1
2024-25	Ottawa Senators	72	29	26	55	0
2025-26	Ottawa Senators	60	22	37	59	4
Career	1 team	572	213	250	463	-53