HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Shane Pinto

Ottawa Senators · C · #12
Top-six playerMiddle-Six Engine?Reliable minutes: 46 points and honest two-way play
HT
6'3"
WT
206 lb
Age
25
Shoots
R
From
Franklin Square, USA
Draft
2019 OTT · R2 #32
78Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
7979pctl
Playmaking?
6262pctl
Transition?
7777pctl
Defense?
6969pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.6472pctl
Goals / GP?
0.3282pctl
Assists / GP?
0.3266pctl
Shots / GP?
2.279pctl
Plus/Minus?
+677pctl
PP Points?
555pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
10.3%89pctl
ZEIS?
3.0684pctl
PSPL?
0.1667pctl
Def Suppression?
0.5362pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Faceoff %?
51.8%65pctl
D-Zone FO %?
55.8%85pctl
Draws / GP
10.668pctl
Take : Give?
0.4782pctl
PP TOI / GP?
1:4966pctl
PK TOI / GP?
2:1693pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 39 GP tracked · 12h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.9 min89pctl
Support received?
17.6 min39pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1053 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$3.75M

cap hit

$6.95M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$3.2M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Shane Pinto78$3.75MA+$3.2Mthis player
Dawson Mercer72$4.00MB+$1.1M84%
Logan Cooley80$0.95MA++$6.7M84%
Matty Beniers75$7.14MD$1.2M84%
Logan Stankoven75$0.81MA++$5.2M80%

Chemistry

Top connection: Michael Amadio · 12 goals together

Recent form · last 10 games

7 pts · 4 G · 3 A · 17 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ TBL

0P

0G 0A

@ FLA

0P

0G 0A

vs BUF

1P

1G 0A

vs MIN

0P

0G 0A

vs CAR

2P

1G 1A

vs TBL

1P

1G 0A

vs FLA

0P

0G 0A

@ NYI

1P

0G 1A

@ NJD

1P

1G 0A

vs TOR

1P

0G 1A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)534 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 8 of 23 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 25 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 56 blocks · 11 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2020-21Ottawa Senators121676
2021-22Ottawa Senators50110
2022-23Ottawa Senators82201535-21
2023-24Ottawa Senators41918279
2024-25Ottawa Senators7021163710
2025-26Ottawa Senators722323466
Career1 team282747915310