Regular season

Justin Barron

Nashville Predators · D · #20

Depth DDepth Defenseman?9 points and 60 blocks in 52 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'2"
WT: 198 lb
Age: 24
Shoots: R
From: Halifax, CAN
Draft: 2020 COL · R1 #25

58Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

2626pctl

4343pctl

2222pctl

3434pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.1720pctl

0.006pctl

0.1734pctl

0.66pctl

-144pctl

027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

1.6%13pctl

0.263pctl

0.1042pctl

Def Suppression?

0.1819pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

1.1536pctl

4.8569pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

6.162pctl

3.054pctl

0.082pctl

0:1555pctl

0:2315pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 33 GP tracked · 8h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

51.4%63pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

51.5%59pctl

O-zone deployment?

46%35pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.0 min23pctl

Support received?

15.9 min92pctl

D-zone deployment?

54%65pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0428pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.2417pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.107pctl

1.04×78pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.19/gm65pctl

Pressure escape rate?

6.2%14pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 708 EV min

General Offense

2.6322

3.5664

Shot Setups/60?

0.6839

Chance Setups/60?

0.4226

Primary Contributions/60?

3.3025

Rebounds Created/60?

0.3451

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0876

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.2528

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.1754

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0878

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0022

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.1022

Rush Offense/60?

5.0837

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.0014

0.3468

0.0864

Deflections/60?

0.1775

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0033

Entries Finished/60?

0.1728

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.0021

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

3.3074

0.1718

3.1482

Retrieval Success %?

5%15

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0038

Exit Success %?

0%38

Forechecking

0.0816

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0049

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$1.15M

cap hit

$1.70M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.6M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Justin Barron	58	Depth Defenseman	9 P · 52 GP	$1.15M	$1.70M	C+$0.6M	this player
Zach Bogosian	59	Depth Defenseman	6 P · 41 GP	$1.25M	$1.91M	C+$0.7M	93%
Urho Vaakanainen	58	Depth Defenseman	6 P · 34 GP	$1.55M	$1.70M	C+$0.2M	93%
Spencer Stastney	58	Depth Defenseman	10 P · 66 GP	$0.82M	$1.70M	B+$0.9M	92%
Declan Chisholm	60	Depth Defenseman	7 P · 26 GP	$1.60M	$2.12M	C+$0.5M	88%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Justin’s goals

No credited connections yet.

Creates for

goals Justin assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 0 G · 2 A · 6 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs MTL

0P

0G 0A

vs MTL 03-28

0G 0A · 0 shots · 14:10 TOI

@ TBL

1P

0G 1A

@ TBL 03-29

0G 1A · 1 shots · 14:22 TOI

@ LAK

1P

0G 1A

@ LAK 04-02

0G 1A · 1 shots · 15:18 TOI

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

@ SJS 04-04

0G 0A · 0 shots · 17:22 TOI

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK 04-06

0G 0A · 1 shots · 22:00 TOI

@ ANA

0P

0G 0A

@ ANA 04-07

0G 0A · 0 shots · 17:33 TOI

@ UTA

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA 04-09

0G 0A · 2 shots · 19:43 TOI

vs MIN

0P

0G 0A

vs MIN 04-11

0G 0A · 0 shots · 16:20 TOI

vs SJS

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS 04-13

0G 0A · 1 shots · 17:25 TOI

vs ANA

0P

0G 0A

vs ANA 04-16

0G 0A · 0 shots · 18:37 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)156 events shown

Playmaking gravity: 9 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 62 blocks · 3 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2021-22	Colorado Avalanche	2	0	0	0	-1
2021-22	Montréal Canadiens	5	1	1	2	-2
2022-23	Montréal Canadiens	39	4	11	15	-2
2023-24	Montréal Canadiens	48	7	6	13	-3
2024-25	Montréal Canadiens	17	1	0	1	-4
2024-25	Nashville Predators	45	5	7	12	-14
2025-26	Nashville Predators	52	0	9	9	-1
Career	3 teams	208	18	34	52	-27