HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Zach Bogosian

Minnesota Wild · D · #24
Depth DDepth Defenseman?6 points and 37 blocks in 41 games in a supporting role
HT
6'3"
WT
231 lb
Age
36
Shoots
R
From
Massena, USA
Draft
2008 ATL · R1 #3
59Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
3131pctl
Playmaking?
4545pctl
Transition?
2323pctl
Defense?
4040pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.1515pctl
Goals / GP?
0.0544pctl
Assists / GP?
0.1011pctl
Shots / GP?
0.718pctl
Plus/Minus?
+874pctl
PP Points?
027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
0.9%3pctl
ZEIS?
0.6610pctl
PSPL?
0.1667pctl
Def Suppression?
0.069pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Blocks / GP?
0.9016pctl
Blocks / 60?
3.7236pctl
Hits / 60?
4.776pctl
Take : Give?
0.3172pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:0224pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:4625pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 30 GP tracked · 7h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.0 min22pctl
Support received?
16.4 min80pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 564 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$1.25M

cap hit

$1.91M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.7M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Zach Bogosian59$1.25MC+$0.7Mthis player
Spencer Stastney58$0.82MB+$0.9M93%
Justin Barron58$1.15MC+$0.6M93%
Jack St. Ivany62$0.80MB+$1.8M90%
Urho Vaakanainen58$1.55MC+$0.2M89%

Chemistry

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

0 pts · 0 G · 0 A · 5 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs UTA

0P

0G 0A

vs PHI

0P

0G 0A

vs NYR

0P

0G 0A

@ CHI

0P

0G 0A

vs CHI

0P

0G 0A

vs DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ TBL

0P

0G 0A

@ BOS

0P

0G 0A

vs VAN

0P

0G 0A

@ OTT

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)123 events shown

The office: the right point - 1 of 2 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 9 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 36 blocks · 4 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2008-09Atlanta Thrashers479101911
2009-10Atlanta Thrashers81101323-18
2010-11Atlanta Thrashers7151217-27
2011-12Winnipeg Jets6552530-3
2012-13Winnipeg Jets335914-5
2013-14Winnipeg Jets5538113
2014-15Winnipeg Jets41310131
2014-15Buffalo Sabres21077-7
2015-16Buffalo Sabres6471724-11
2016-17Buffalo Sabres562911-17
2017-18Buffalo Sabres18011-9
2018-19Buffalo Sabres6531619-5
2019-20Buffalo Sabres191450
2019-20Tampa Bay Lightning80220
2020-21Toronto Maple Leafs450447
2021-22Tampa Bay Lightning483582
2022-23Tampa Bay Lightning46145-4
2023-24Tampa Bay Lightning40000
2023-24Minnesota Wild613111411
2024-25Minnesota Wild8141216-6
2025-26Minnesota Wild412468
Career6 teams97066183249-69