Regular season

Emil Heineman

New York Islanders · LW · #51

Middle-six playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 247 hits (10.9/60)

HT: 6'2"
WT: 204 lb
Age: 24
Shoots: L
From: Leksand, SWE
Draft: 2020 FLA · R2 #43

68Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

7070pctl

4040pctl

6868pctl

5454pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.3843pctl

0.2773pctl

0.1116pctl

2.176pctl

-1315pctl

450pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

8.3%81pctl

2.5475pctl

0.1667pctl

Def Suppression?

0.5767pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

7.772pctl

10.983pctl

0.1712pctl

2.3774pctl

1:4457pctl

0:3464pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 52 GP tracked · 14h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

48.5%40pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

44.2%27pctl

O-zone deployment?

54%71pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.8 min80pctl

Support received?

18.7 min12pctl

D-zone deployment?

46%29pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1177pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.9155pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.4067pctl

1.01×63pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.20/gm60pctl

Pressure escape rate?

6.8%26pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1174 EV min

General Offense

6.5969

8.4360

Shot Setups/60?

1.1266

Chance Setups/60?

0.6135

Primary Contributions/60?

7.7269

Rebounds Created/60?

0.4650

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.2086

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.6662

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2639

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0036

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.3185

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.5357

Rush Offense/60?

8.2860

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.3618

0.9767

0.2675

Deflections/60?

1.1838

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0018

Entries Finished/60?

0.5632

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.4143

Entry → Chance %?

73%70

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.8226

0.1023

0.7238

Retrieval Success %?

13%22

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0033

Exit Success %?

0%30

Forechecking

7.1076

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$1.10M

cap hit

$3.94M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$2.8M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Emil Heineman	68	Depth Forward	31 P · 82 GP	$1.10M	$3.94M	A+$2.8M	this player
Lawson Crouse	72	Middle-Six Engine	44 P · 81 GP	$4.30M	$5.08M	B+$0.8M	84%
Bobby Brink	69	Depth Forward	30 P · 68 GP	$1.50M	$4.22M	A+$2.7M	84%
Pavol Regenda	67	Depth Forward	10 P · 24 GP	-	$3.68M	-	81%
Kiefer Sherwood	72	Wrecking Ball	36 P · 72 GP	$1.50M	$5.08M	A+$3.6M	80%

Chemistry

Top connection: Bo Horvat · 13 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Emil’s goals

Creates for

goals Emil assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 2 G · 1 A · 14 shots in last 10Steady(-0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs DAL

1P

0G 1A

vs DAL 03-26

0G 1A · 4 shots · 18:22 TOI

vs FLA

1P

1G 0A

vs FLA 03-28

1G 0A · 3 shots · 17:56 TOI

vs PIT

0P

0G 0A

vs PIT 03-30

0G 0A · 0 shots · 17:41 TOI

@ BUF

0P

0G 0A

@ BUF 03-31

0G 0A · 1 shots · 15:21 TOI

vs PHI

0P

0G 0A

vs PHI 04-03

0G 0A · 1 shots · 15:53 TOI

@ CAR

0P

0G 0A

@ CAR 04-04

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:50 TOI

vs TOR

1P

1G 0A

vs TOR 04-09

1G 0A · 3 shots · 15:55 TOI

vs OTT

0P

0G 0A

vs OTT 04-11

0G 0A · 0 shots · 12:15 TOI

vs MTL

0P

0G 0A

vs MTL 04-12

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:03 TOI

vs CAR

0P

0G 0A

vs CAR 04-14

0G 0A · 2 shots · 15:47 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)325 events shown

The office: the left circle - 6 of 22 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 24 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 66 blocks · 2 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2023-24	Montréal Canadiens	4	0	0	0	2
2024-25	Montréal Canadiens	62	10	8	18	-6
2025-26	New York Islanders	82	22	9	31	-13
Career	2 teams	148	32	17	49	-17